Miami Dolphins at Green Bay Packers: Week 10 Free Betting Pick,

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The Miami Dolphins (+9) are making a trip north to take on the Green Bay Packers at Lambeau Field. This late afternoon game is scheduled to kick off at 4:25 p.m. ET and CBS will broadcast the action.

Week 10 Betting Preview: Miami Dolphins at Green Bay Packers

Miami is a live dog in this Sunday pairing and is currently getting 9 points. In order to take the home favorite, moneyline gamblers would currently need to put down $400 to win $100 back on the Packers (-400). The Dolphins are getting +300 moneyline odds. Vegas has placed the over/under (O/U) at 47.5 points. Based on how things are shaking out, this matchup will probably offer some in-game betting opportunities.

The Dolphins have gained 2.6 units so far and are 5-4 against the spread (ATS). The team’s recorded an O/U mark of 5-4.

The Packers have lost 1.3 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 3-5 ATS and have an O/U record of 5-3.

The Dolphins are 5-4 straight up (SU) in 2018 while the Packers are 3-4-1 SU.

The Dolphins enter after a 13-6 win over the Jets in Week 9 where Brock Osweiler completed 15-of-24 passes for just 139 yards. Frank Gore (53 yards on 20 rush attempts) mounted the ground attack. Danny Amendola (five receptions, 47 yards) and Kenyan Drake (four catches, 26 yards) shared the receiving duties in the win.

In Week 9, New England got the victory against this Green Bay team by a score of 31-17. Aaron Rodgers completed 24-of-43 passes for 259 yards and two touchdowns. Aaron Jones (76 rushing yards on 14 attempts) mounted the running game as Davante Adams (six receptions, 40 yards, one TD) and Randall Cobb (five catches, 24 yards) led the receiving corps in the loss.

Miami’s run the ball on 44.3 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Green Bay has a rush percentage of 34.4 percent. The Dolphins have run for 103.1 yards per game and have three scores on the ground this year. The Packers are putting up 105.8 rushing yards per game and have four total rush TDs.

If the numbers so far this season are any indication, then it’s looking like the Packers may hold an advantage in all aspects of the ground game, as their backfield has logged 4.8 yards per carry while the defense has allowed a YPC of 4.4 to opponents. The Dolphins have recorded 4.3 yards per carry while allowing a YPC of 4.6 to opponents.

The Dolphins offensive scheme has averaged 231.8 yards through the air overall and has 16 passing TDs so far. The Packers have recorded 324.6 pass yards per game and have 15 total pass scores.

Defensively, Miami has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 136.1 yards and throw for 269.1 yards per game. The Green Bay defense has given up 254.1 yards per game to opposing passers and 119.6 yards per game on the ground. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to opponents, as the Dolphins have given up an ANY/A of 6.34 to opposing QBs, while the Packers are allowing an ANY/A of 6.80.

Offensively, Osweiler has put up 793 passing yards this year, and has completed 66 percent of his 104 attempts with six passing scores and two interceptions. He’s got a 6.82 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 4.25 over the past two outings.

Aaron Rodgers has completed 180-of-297 passes for 2,256 yards, 14 TDs and one INT for Green Bay. His ANY/A stands at 7.43 for the year and 7.31 over his last two games.

Miami Dolphins vs. Green Bay Packers Free NFL Tip

SU Winner: Packers, ATS Winner: Dolphins, O/U: Over

Team Betting Notes

  • Green Bay has lost eight fumbles this season while Miami has lost five.
  • The Green Bay defensive unit has sacked opposing QBs 25 times this season. Miami has registered just 15 sacks.
  • Miami has rushed for 4.0 yards per attempt across its past three games and 3.5 over its last two.
  • Green Bay has averaged 5.2 yards per carry over its last three outings and 5.1 over its past two.
  • Green Bay has dropped four of its last five games SU, with a three-point victory over San Francisco on October 15th representing its only win over that stretch.