Memphis Grizzlies vs. Philadelphia 76ers ATS Prediction

betdsiArticles, Basketball, NBA

The Philadelphia 76ers (16-8) will be 6-point favorites at home in the Wells Fargo Center when they take on the Memphis Grizzlies (13-8). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 213.5 points and it starts at 6 p.m. ET on Sunday, December 2, 2018.

Memphis Grizzlies vs. Philadelphia 76ers Betting Odds

Both teams covered as favorites in their last outing. The 76ers (8.5-point favorites) defeated the Washington Wizards 123-98, while the Grizzlies (2.5-point favorites) beat the Brooklyn Nets 131-125. The Philadelphia game went 12.5 points under the projected point total of 233.5, while the Memphis game went 50 points over the projected point total of 206.

Memphis’ effective field goal percentage was their largest strength over Brooklyn. The Grizzlies had a rate of 0.554 (above their season average of 0.518), while the Nets posted a mark of 0.532. Philadelphia, on the other hand, dominated every facet of their game. They had a ridiculous offensive rebounding percentage of 33.3 (above their season average of 22.8) and a free throw rate of 0.255 (matching their season average). For those same stats, Washington had marks of 16.3 and 0.174, respectively. Philadelphia’s Joel Embiid played well, putting up 16 points and 15 rebounds. Meanwhile, Mike Conley played a pivotal role for Memphis with 37 points, 10 assists and five rebounds.

In their first matchup this season, Conley led the Grizzlies to a 112-106 win. He was the game’s leading scorer with 32 points. Memphis covered as a 5-point favorite and the two teams combined to score 218 points, which was over the projected point total of 211.5. The Grizzlies’ 9.1 turnover percentage was their largest strength over the 76ers, who had a rate of 20.0.

Just over half of the Grizzlies’ games have finished under the O/U total. Memphis comes into the game with records of 13-8 straight up (SU) and 13-8 against the spread (ATS).

Vegas tends to place the total low when the 76ers are involved, as 62.5 percent of their games have ended over the O/U total. Philadelphia is 16-8 SU, but they are just 10-14 ATS.

Marc Gasol and Conley have been playing well over the last five games for Memphis. Gasol has averaged 24 points,10.0 rebounds,4.2 assists,2.4 blocks,1.4 steals per game, while Conley has recorded 24 points,8.8 assists,1.4 steals a game during that span.

It might be an error-filled game for the Philadelphia offense. Philadelphia ranks 26th in the league in ball protection (turnover percentage of 14.7 percent), while the ball-hawking defense of Memphis forces the second-most turnovers in the league (16.1 percent). Moreover, the Grizzlies, who rank 29th in offensive rebounding percentage (17.9 percent), might have a tough time getting put-back points against the 76ers, who rank fifth in defensive rebounding percentage (78.6 percent).

Memphis Grizzlies at Philadelphia 76ers Betting Pick

Free Pick: SU Winner – 76ers, ATS Winner – Grizzlies, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The 76ers rank 3 in assists per game (26.666666666666668) while the Grizzlies rank 13 (23.952380952380953).
  • Philadelphia ranks fifth in rebounds per game (48.1) while Memphis ranks last (39.5).
  • The 76ers rank ninth in fast break points allowed per game (12.8) while the Grizzlies rank 26th (16.3).
  • Memphis ranks third in points allowed in the paint per game (42.8) while Philadelphia ranks 18th (49.3).
  • Philadelphia ranks 18 in second chance points per game (12.958333333333334) while Memphis ranks 28 (9.571428571428571).
  • The Grizzlies average 19.6 points off turnovers per game, which ranks fourth in the NBA. The 76ers rank 25th in points off turnovers allowed per game (18.3).
  • The 76ers rank 15 in three pointers attempted per game (31.75) while the Grizzlies rank 25 (27.857142857142858).
  • Memphis averages 5.9523809523809526 blocks per game, which ranks 8 in the NBA. Philadelphia ranks 15 in blocks allowed per game (4.958333333333333).
  • Memphis ranks fifth in steals per game (9.0) while Philadelphia ranks 25th (6.9).
  • When allowing under 100 points, Philadelphia is 5-0 and Memphis is 6-2.
  • In games where they score over 100 points, the 76ers are 16-6 and the Grizzlies are 10-4.
  • Memphis is 6-5 ATS on the road, while Philadelphia is 7-6 ATS at home.
  • The total has gone over in 8 of the 76ers’ 13 home games, while 6 of the Grizzlies’ 11 road games have gone under.

Bettings Trends:

  • In their last five games, Memphis and Philadelphia are both 2-3 ATS.
  • The Grizzlies have 4 overs and 1 under over their last five games, while the 76ers have 3 overs and 2 unders
  • During their last five games, the Grizzlies have scored an average of 110.8 points per game (5.9 above their season average) and allowed an average of 113.0 points per game (9.9 above their season average).
  • The 76ers\u2019 average margin of victory in their last five games has been 9.0, up from 2.1 for the season.