The Memphis Grizzlies (24-39), 5-point underdogs, will be at the American Airlines Center to clash with the Dallas Mavericks (27-34) in a Southwest Division matchup. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 212 points and it will air on Fox Sports – Southeast at 8:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, March 2, 2019.
Memphis Grizzlies at Dallas Mavericks Betting Odds
The Mavericks defeated the Indiana Pacers in their last matchup, 110-101, despite being 1-point underdogs. The Grizzlies, on the other hand, were defeated by the Chicago Bulls, 109-107, and were not able to cover as 3-point underdogs. The Dallas game went 3.5 points under the projected point total of 214.5, while the Memphis game went 0.5 points under the projected point total of 216.5.
The Mavericks held the Pacers to an offensive rebounding percentage of 15.8 (below their season average of 22.2) and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.593 (above their season average of 0.519). Memphis, on the other hand, had an offensive rebounding percentage of 25.5 (above their season average of 19.2). Luka Doncic played well for Dallas, finishing with 26 points, 10 rebounds and seven assists. Meanwhile, Memphis was led by Avery Bradley, who contributed 23 points, seven rebounds and seven assists.
In their first matchup this year, Marc Gasol led the Grizzlies to a 98-88 win. He notched a double-double with 17 points and 15 rebounds. The two teams combined for 186 points, which was under the projected point total of 199, and Memphis covered as a 3-point favorite. Memphis’ 0.544 effective field goal percentage was its biggest strength over Dallas, who had a rate of 0.398.
Of the Grizzlies’ 63 games, 38 have finished under the total. Memphis holds records of 24-39 straight up (SU) and 27-35-1 against the spread (ATS).
Coinciding with Memphis, a little over half of Mavericks games have finished under the total. Further, Dallas owns records of 27-34 SU and 36-25 ATS.
This could end up being an error-filled game for the Dallas offense. Dallas ranks 24th in the NBA in ball protection (turnover percentage of 14.3 percent), while the pesky defense of Memphis forces the third-most turnovers in the league (15.3 percent).
Memphis Grizzlies vs. Dallas Mavericks Betting Pick
Free Pick: SU Winner – Mavericks, ATS Winner – Grizzlies, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- The Grizzlies rank first in points allowed in the paint per game (41.6) while the Mavericks rank 11th (47.7).
- Dallas ranks third in three pointers attempted per game (35.6) while Memphis ranks 26th (27.6).
- The Grizzlies average 8.5 steals per game, which ranks eighth in the NBA. The Mavericks rank 23rd in steals allowed per game (8.4).
- Dallas ranks 14th in rebounds per game (45.4) while Memphis ranks 29th (40.8).
- Dallas averages 12.9 fast break points per game, which ranks 15th in the NBA. Memphis ranks 27th in fast break points allowed per game (15.7).
- The Grizzlies rank fifth in blocks per game (5.7) while the Mavericks rank 26th (4.3).
- The Mavericks rank 17th in second chance points per game (13.2) while the Grizzlies rank 29th (10.5).
- Memphis ranks fifth in assists allowed per game (23.0) while Dallas ranks 14th (24.3).
- Memphis ranks ninth in points off turnovers per game (17.9) while Dallas ranks 26th (15.0).
- In games where they allow below 100 points, Memphis is 13-6 and Dallas is 10-3.
- The Grizzlies are 15-16 when they reach the century mark, while the Mavericks are 26-28.
- Memphis is 11-19-1 ATS on the road, while Dallas is 21-10 ATS at home.
- Of the Grizzlies’ 31 road games, they have 20 unders and 11 overs.
- Of the Mavericks’ 31 home games, they have 18 unders and 13 overs.
Bettings Trends:
- In their last five games, Memphis and Dallas are both 1-4 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
- The Grizzlies’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 4.0, up from 3.1 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Mavericks have scored an average of 107.2 points per game (1.5 below their season average) and allowed an average of 114.6 points per game (5.4 above their season average).
