The Memphis Grizzlies (25-25), 4.5-point underdogs, will be at the American Airlines Center to challenge the Dallas Mavericks (31-19) in a Southwest Division matchup. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 229.5 points and it can be seen on Fox Sports – Southeast at 8:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday, February 5, 2020.
Memphis Grizzlies at Dallas Mavericks ATS Odds
Both teams covered in their last matchup. The Mavericks (5.5-point underdogs) defeated the Indiana Pacers 112-103, while the Grizzlies (8.5-point favorite) beat the Detroit Pistons 96-82. The Dallas game went 2 points over the projected point total of 213, while the Memphis game went 45.5 points under the projected point total of 223.5.
Memphis played a nearly flawless game. They had a free throw rate of 0.111 (matching their season average) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.478 (below their season average of 0.537). For those same stats, Detroit was 0.061 and 0.388, respectively. Dallas, on the other hand, dominated nearly every facet of their game. They had a superb free throw rate of 0.256 (above their season average of 0.201) and an offensive rebounding percentage of 27.3 (above their season average of 24.7). For those same stats, Indiana put up marks of 0.083 and 17.0, respectively. Kristaps Porzingis put together a solid performance for Dallas with 38 points and 12 rebounds. Meanwhile, Jonas Valanciunas led the way for Memphis, putting up 26 points and 17 rebounds.
In their first matchup this season, Luka Doncic led the Mavericks to a 138-122 win. He recorded a double-double with 24 points and 14 rebounds. Dallas covered as a 5.5-point favorite and the two teams combined for 260 points, which was well over the projected point total of 222.5. One of Dallas’ largest strengths was their ability to convert at the free throw line. They were 16-20 (80.0 percent), while the Grizzlies were 10-14 (71.4 percent).
There does not appear to be a trend for games featuring the Grizzlies in regards to the total, as there has been an even split between games finishing over and under. Memphis holds records of 25-25 straight up (SU) and 27-22-1 against the spread (ATS).
Of the Mavericks’ 50 games, 30 have finished over the total. Moreover, Dallas is 31-19 SU and 30-20 ATS.
Dallas should have the advantage on the offensive side of the ball. The Mavericks rank first in offensive efficiency, while the Grizzlies rank 17th in defensive efficiency.
Grizzlies vs. Mavericks Free Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Grizzlies, ATS Winner – Grizzlies, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Grizzlies rank first in assists per game (27.6) while the Mavericks rank 16th (24.0).
- Dallas averages 14.9 second chance points per game, which ranks first in the league. Memphis ranks 27th in second chance points allowed per game (14.5).
- The Mavericks rank fourth in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.5) while the Grizzlies rank 26th (18.4).
- Dallas ranks second in blocks allowed per game (3.9) while Memphis ranks 20th (5.3).
- Memphis ranks 12th in steals per game (8.0) while Dallas ranks 28th (6.1).
- The Grizzlies rank fourth in fast break points per game (17.4) while the Mavericks rank last in fast break points allowed per game (16.3).
- The Mavericks rank second in three pointers attempted per game (41.1) while the Grizzlies rank 20th (31.6).
- Dallas ranks fourth in rebounds per game (47.5) while Memphis ranks 16th (45.3).
- Memphis ranks first in points in the paint per game (56.4) while Dallas ranks 26th (44.9).
- When allowing under 100 points, Memphis is 3-0 and Dallas is 8-0.
- The Grizzlies are 24-19 when they reach the century mark, while the Mavericks are 31-17.
- Dallas is 11-15 ATS at home, while Memphis is 11-10-1 ATS on the road.
- The total has gone over in 11 of the Grizzlies’ 22 road games, while 15 of the Mavericks’ 26 home games have gone over.
Bettings Trends:
- In their last five games, Memphis and Dallas are both 4-1 ATS.
- The Grizzlies have 3 unders and 2 overs over their last five games, while the Mavericks have 3 overs and 2 unders
- The Grizzlies have outscored opponents by an average of 4.0 points in their last five games. For the season, Memphis has lost by an average of 1.9 points.
- During their last five games, the Mavericks have scored an average of 113.4 points per game (2.9 below their season average) and allowed an average of 112.2 points per game (2.2 above their season average).
