Memphis Grizzlies at Portland Trail Blazers ATS Prediction 12/19/18

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The Portland Trail Blazers (17-13) will be at home in Moda Center at the Rose Quarter when they take on the Memphis Grizzlies (16-14). The game will air on Fox Sports – Southeast at 10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, December 19, 2018.

Memphis Grizzlies vs. Portland Trail Blazers Betting Odds

The last time the Trail Blazers played, they topped the Los Angeles Clippers, 131-127, as 1-point underdogs. The Grizzlies, meanwhile, were topped by the Golden State Warriors, 110-93, and failed to cover as 13-point underdogs. The Portland game went 40.5 points over the projected point total of 217.5, while the Memphis game finished 6.5 points under the projected point total of 209.5.

Portland’s 0.605 effective field goal percentage was their largest advantage over Los Angeles, who had a mark of 0.566. The Trail Blazers’ mark was above their season average of 0.518. Memphis, meanwhile, held Golden State to an effective field goal percentage of 0.506 (below their season average of 0.559). Portland was led by Damian Lillard, who contributed 39 points and six assists. Omri Casspi had a solid performance for Memphis, contributing 20 points and six rebounds.

In their first matchup this season, Mike Conley led the Grizzlies to a 92-83 victory. He produced 23 points, 6 rebounds and 6 assists. The two teams combined to score 175 points, which was well under the projected point total of 202, and Memphis covered as a 3-point favorite. Memphis out-rebounded Portland. The Grizzlies had more offensive rebounds (nine vs. four), defensive rebounds (42 vs. 40) and total rebounds (51 vs. 44).

Vegas tends to place the total high when the Grizzlies are involved, as 56.7 percent of their games have finished under the total. Memphis heads into the contest with records of 16-14 straight up (SU) and 16-14 against the spread (ATS).

Contrary to Memphis, games including the Trail Blazers have finished over the total 53.3 percent of the time. Additionally, Portland is 17-13 SU and 15-15 ATS.

Al-Farouq Aminu has really been playing well as of late for Portland, averaging 11 points,8.0 rebounds over the last five games.

It could be an error-filled game for the Portland offense. Portland ranks 17th in the league in ball protection (turnover percentage of 13.9 percent), while the ball-hawking defense of Memphis forces the second-most turnovers in the NBA (15.9 percent).

Memphis Grizzlies at Portland Trail Blazers ATS Pick

NBA Prediction: SU Winner – Grizzlies, ATS Winner – Grizzlies, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Grizzlies rank 3 in points allowed in the paint per game (42.266666666666666) while the Trail Blazers rank 10 (46.86666666666667).
  • Portland ranks second in rebounds per game (48.2) while Memphis ranks 29th (39.6).
  • The Grizzlies rank eighth in points off turnovers per game (18.5) while the Trail Blazers rank 28th (14.0).
  • Memphis ranks third in blocks per game (6.0) while Portland ranks 22nd in blocks allowed per game (5.6).
  • Portland ranks 17 in three pointers attempted per game (30.5) while Memphis ranks 25 (27.266666666666666).
  • The Grizzlies rank sixth in steals per game (8.9) while the Trail Blazers rank 27th (6.5).
  • The Trail Blazers rank 16 in fast break points allowed per game (13.9) while the Grizzlies rank 25 (15.066666666666666).
  • Memphis ranks 20 in assists per game (23.1) while Portland ranks 27 (21.133333333333333).
  • Portland ranks seventh in second chance points per game (14.3) while Memphis ranks 28th (9.7).
  • In games where they hold opponents below 100 points, Portland is 5-1 and Memphis is 8-2.
  • The Trail Blazers are 17-10 when they reach the century mark, while the Grizzlies are 11-4.
  • Portland is 10-5 ATS at home, while Memphis is 7-8 ATS on the road.
  • The total has gone under in 8 of the Trail Blazers’ 15 home games, while 9 of the Grizzlies’ 15 road games have gone under.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Trail Blazers are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Grizzlies are 1-4.
  • In their last five games, Portland has 3 unders and 2 overs, while Memphis has 2 overs, 2 unders and 1 push.
  • During their last five games, the Trail Blazers have scored an average of 111.8 points per game (0.4 below their season average) and allowed an average of 111.4 points per game (0.6 above their season average).
  • The Grizzlies’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 5.0, up from 0.2 for the season.