Memphis Grizzlies at Orlando Magic Free Prediction 11/08/19

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Don’t expect a fast-paced game when the Memphis Grizzlies (2-5), 6.5-point underdogs, travel to Orlando to take on the Magic (2-6). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 208 points and it will air on Fox Sports – Southeast at 7 p.m. ET on Friday, November 8, 2019.

Memphis Grizzlies at Orlando Magic ATS Odds

In their last outing, the Grizzlies (3.5-point underdogs) covered in a 137-121 victory over the Minnesota Timberwolves. The Magic were defeated by the Dallas Mavericks, 107-106, but did cover as 7-point underdogs. Both games finished over their projected point totals. The Memphis game went 33.5 points over the projected point total of 224.5, while the Orlando game finished 5.5 points over the projected point total of 207.5.

Memphis played a nearly perfect game. They had a superb free throw rate of 0.284 (above their season average of 0.187) and an offensive rebounding percentage of 23.5 (below their season average of 23.8). For those same stats, Minnesota had marks of 0.198 and 19.6, respectively. Orlando, on the other hand, had an effective field goal percentage of 0.525 (above their season average of 0.444). Nikola Vucevic had a good outing for Orlando, recording 19 points, 11 rebounds and seven assists. Meanwhile, Memphis was lifted by Dillon Brooks, who put up 31 points.

This was a highly contested series last year, as the teams split their two games last season. In the last matchup, the Magic won 123-119. Orlando did a fantastic job of getting and making free throws (21-27; 77.8 percent). Memphis, on the other hand, had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (20.0 vs. 8.7).

Vegas is known to place the total high when the Grizzlies are involved, as 57.1 percent of their games have gone under the total. Memphis heads into the contest with records of 2-5 straight up (SU) and 2-5 against the spread (ATS).

Games involving the Magic also have typically finished under the total (75.0 percent). Additionally, Orlando is 2-6 SU and 2-5-1 ATS.

Half-court execution will be of utmost importance when a pair of the league’s slowest-paced teams face off. Orlando ranks 27th in possessions per game (100.0) and Memphis is 29th (99.8) dating back to last season. Furthermore, the Grizzlies rank 28th in offensive rebounding percentage (20.4 percent), while the Magic rank third in defensive rebounding percentage (79.9 percent).

Memphis Grizzlies vs. Orlando Magic ATS Pick

Pick: SU Winner – Magic, ATS Winner – Grizzlies, O/U – Under

Betting Notes (2018-Present):

  • The Magic rank third in assists allowed per game (23.0) while the Grizzlies rank seventh (23.4).
  • Orlando ranks ninth in fast break points allowed per game (12.7) while Memphis ranks 29th (16.4).
  • The Magic rank 15th in three pointers attempted per game (32.1) while the Grizzlies rank 26th (28.9).
  • Orlando ranks fifth in blocks allowed per game (4.4) while Memphis ranks 15th (5.0).
  • Orlando ranks 23rd in second chance points per game (12.2) while Memphis ranks 29th (11.5).
  • The Grizzlies rank sixth in steals per game (8.4) while the Magic rank 25th (6.8).
  • The Grizzlies rank 19th in points in the paint per game (47.2) while the Magic rank 28th (43.5).
  • Orlando ranks 14th in rebounds per game (45.4) while Memphis ranks 29th (42.3).
  • Memphis is 15-7 when they allow below 100 points, while Orlando is 21-5.
  • The Magic are 39-20 when they score above 100 points, while the Grizzlies are 26-25.