A five-game home winning streak is on the line for the Oklahoma City Thunder (15-14) when they meet the Memphis Grizzlies (11-20) at Chesapeake Energy Arena. The game starts at 8 p.m. ET on Thursday, December 26, 2019, and will air on Fox Sports – Southeast.
Memphis Grizzlies vs. Oklahoma City Thunder ATS Odds
In the Thunder’s previous outing, they were victorious over the Los Angeles Clippers, 118-112, covering as 1.5-point favorites. The Grizzlies, on the other hand, were dismantled by the San Antonio Spurs, 145-115, and failed to cover as 1-point underdogs. The Oklahoma City game finished 5.5 points under the projected point total of 235.5, while the Memphis game went 31 points over the projected point total of 229.
The Thunder, who came into the game averaging an offensive rebounding percentage of 18.5, had a ridiculous mark of 33.3 and had a turnover percentage of 10.2 (better than their season average of 12.9). Memphis, on the other hand, held San Antonio to an offensive rebounding percentage of 14.3 (below their season average of 21.5). Steven Adams led the way for Oklahoma City, finishing with 20 points and 17 rebounds. Meanwhile, Memphis was led by Jonas Valanciunas, who put up 18 points and 12 rebounds.
In their first matchup this year, Schroder led the Thunder to a 126-122 win. He was the game’s top overall scorer with 31 points. The two teams combined to score 248 points, which was well over the projected point total of 219, and Oklahoma City was unable to cover as a 7-point favorite. Getting to the free throw line was one of Oklahoma City’s biggest advantages. They made 34 trips to the line, while Memphis went just 15 times.
Games involving the Grizzlies have gone over the O/U total 51.6 percent of the time. Memphis heads into the contest with records of 11-20 straight up (SU) and 14-17 against the spread (ATS).
Vegas is known to place the total high when the Thunder are involved, as 13 of their 31 games have gone under the projected point total. Moreover, Oklahoma City is 15-14 SU and 17-11-1 ATS.
The aggressive Oklahoma City offense could be living from the charity stripe in this matchup. The Thunder currently rank second in the league with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.234, while Memphis ranks 29th in FTA rate allowed (0.229).
Memphis Grizzlies vs. Oklahoma City Thunder ATS Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – Grizzlies, ATS Winner – Grizzlies, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Grizzlies rank 18th in rebounds per game (44.8) while the Thunder rank 25th (42.6).
- Memphis ranks fourth in fast break points per game (16.0) while Oklahoma City ranks last (8.4).
- The Grizzlies average 53.6 points in the paint per game, which ranks first in the league. The Thunder rank 21st in points allowed in the paint per game (49.3).
- Oklahoma City ranks seventh in second chance points allowed per game (12.1) while Memphis ranks 25th (14.4).
- Oklahoma City ranks second in three pointers allowed per game (30.3) while Memphis ranks 15th (34.0).
- The Grizzlies rank third in assists per game (27.0) while the Thunder rank 25th (21.8).
- The Thunder rank 12th in points off turnovers allowed per game (16.9) while the Grizzlies rank 29th (20.1).
- Oklahoma City ranks fifth in blocks allowed per game (4.3) while Memphis ranks 26th (5.8).
- Oklahoma City is 5-3 when they hold opponents below 100 points.
- In games where they score more than 100 points, the Thunder are 15-8 and the Grizzlies are 11-15.
- Memphis is 6-7 ATS on the road, while Oklahoma City is 9-6-1 ATS at home.
- The total has gone over in 8 of the Thunder’s 16 home games, while 8 of the Grizzlies’ 13 road games have gone under.
Bettings Trends:
- In their last five games, Memphis and Oklahoma City have both had 4 overs and 1 under.
- The Grizzlies are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Thunder are 2-3.
- The Grizzlies’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 6.0, down from 6.2 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Thunder have scored an average of 116.2 points per game (7.0 above their season average) and allowed an average of 111.6 points per game (3.7 above their season average).
