Memphis Grizzlies at Los Angeles Lakers ATS Prediction 10/29/19

Posts AdminArticles, Basketball, NBA

The Los Angeles Lakers (2-1) will be 12-point favorites at home in the Staples Center when they go head-to-head with the Memphis Grizzlies (1-2). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 220 points and it will air on NBATV at 10:30 p.m. ET on Tuesday, October 29, 2019.

Memphis Grizzlies vs. Los Angeles Lakers ATS Odds

Both teams covered in their last outing. The Lakers (13.5-point favorites) defeated the Charlotte Hornets 120-101, while the Grizzlies (4-point underdog) beat the Brooklyn Nets 134-133. Both games went over their projected point totals. The Los Angeles game went 5 points over the projected point total of 216, while the Memphis game finished 42 points over the projected point total of 225.

The Grizzlies had a better turnover percentage (9.5 vs. 12.7) and had a better effective field goal percentage (0.553 vs. 0.510). Meanwhile, Los Angeles’ 0.586 effective field goal percentage was their largest advantage over Charlotte, who had a rate of 0.440. Los Angeles was led by Anthony Davis, who had 29 points and 14 rebounds. Ja Morant, meanwhile had a good outing for Memphis, contributing 30 points and nine assists.

The Grizzlies took this series last year, securing victories in two out of three contests. In the last contest, Memphis won 110-105. Memphis’ rebounding was their biggest strength. The Grizzlies had 15 offensive rebounds and 57 total rebounds, while the Lakers had 10 and 46, respectively.

Since last season, the Grizzlies are 34-51 straight up (SU) and 36-46-3 against the spread (ATS). Games involving Memphis have had a slight tendency to go under the projected point total since last season (51.8 percent).

The Lakers, on the other hand, have records of 39-46 SU and 45-39-1 ATS since last season. Games featuring Los Angeles have gone over the O/U total 52.9 percent of the time over that same period.

It will be a showdown of contrasting paces as the up-tempo Lakers will look to push the more methodical Grizzlies. Dating back to the 2018-19 season, the Lakers rank fourth in possessions per game while the Grizzlies are 29th.

Memphis Grizzlies vs. Los Angeles Lakers Odds Pick

Pick: SU Winner – Lakers, ATS Winner – Grizzlies, O/U – Under

Betting Notes (2018-Present):

  • The Grizzlies rank fourth in blocks per game (5.5) while the Lakers rank 16th in blocks allowed per game (5.1).
  • Los Angeles ranks second in fast break points per game (19.1) while Memphis ranks 29th in fast break points allowed per game (16.4).
  • The Grizzlies average 17.1 points off turnovers per game, which ranks 10th in the league. The Lakers rank 28th in points off turnovers allowed per game (18.4).
  • Memphis ranks fourth in second chance points allowed per game (11.8) while Los Angeles ranks 22nd (14.0).
  • Memphis ranks fifth in assists allowed per game (23.3) while Los Angeles ranks 21st (24.9).
  • The Lakers rank seventh in rebounds per game (46.5) while the Grizzlies rank 29th (42.0).
  • The Lakers rank second in points in the paint per game (55.5) while the Grizzlies rank 19th (46.7).
  • Los Angeles ranks 17th in three pointers attempted per game (31.0) while Memphis ranks 26th (29.0).
  • Memphis ranks seventh in steals per game (8.4) while Los Angeles ranks 26th in steals allowed per game (8.3).
  • Los Angeles is 8-0 when they allow under 100 points, while Memphis is 15-7.
  • In games where they reach the century mark, the Lakers are 37-36 and the Grizzlies are 25-23.