Memphis Grizzlies at Indiana Pacers ATS Prediction 11/25/19

Posts AdminArticles, Basketball, NBA

The Indiana Pacers (9-6) will be 9-point favorites at home in Bankers Life Fieldhouse when they square off against the Memphis Grizzlies (5-10). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 217.5 points and it will air on Fox Sports – Southeast at 7 p.m. ET on Monday, November 25, 2019.

Memphis Grizzlies at Indiana Pacers Betting Odds

Although the Grizzlies were defeated by the Los Angeles Lakers in their last outing, 109-108, they did cover as 8-point underdogs. The Grizzlies, on the other hand, beat the Orlando Magic,111-106, but were unable to cover as 6-point favorites. The Memphis game finished 9.5 points under the projected point total of 226.5, while the Indiana game finished 16.5 points over the projected point total of 200.5.

Indiana dominated nearly every stat category in the contest. They had a free throw rate of 0.190 (above their season average of 0.157) and an offensive rebounding percentage of 21.2 (below their season average of 23.7). Orlando was 0.076 and 16.7, respectively, for those same stats. Memphis, meanwhile, had an offensive rebounding percentage of 29.3 (above their season average of 21.5). Indiana received a boost from Domantas Sabonis, who finished with 25 points and nine rebounds. Ja Morant, meanwhile led the way for Memphis, recording 26 points, six assists and five steals.

This series was highly contested last year, as the teams split their two games last season. In the most recent game, the Grizzlies won 106-103. Memphis had a better turnover percentage (11.5 vs. 15.9). Indiana, on the other hand, did a fantastic job of getting and making free throws (30-36; 83.3 percent). This will be the first game of the year between these two teams.

Grizzlies games tend to go under the total (60.0 percent). Memphis comes into the contest with records of 5-10 straight up (SU) and 6-9 against the spread (ATS).

Coinciding with Memphis, Pacers games also have a tendency to finish under the total (60.0 percent). Indiana has a solid 9-6 SU record, but they are just 6-7-2 ATS.

The Grizzlies’ Morant has been playing at a high level over his last five games, averaging 18 points,6.8 assists per game. Meanwhile, Aaron Holiday has averaged 15 points,6.0 assists,1.2 steals during that same time frame for the Pacers.

When considering effective field goal percentage, Indiana figures to have a noteworthy edge. The Pacers defense ranks eighth in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.500), while the Memphis offense is ranked 19th in effective field goal percentage (0.517).

Memphis Grizzlies at Indiana Pacers Odds Pick

Prediction: SU Winner – Pacers, ATS Winner – Pacers, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Grizzlies rank 21st in three pointers attempted per game (30.5) while the Pacers rank 28th (26.1).
  • Indiana ranks sixth in points off turnovers allowed per game (16.1) while Memphis ranks last (22.3).
  • The Pacers rank eighth in second chance points allowed per game (11.8) while the Grizzlies rank 26th (15.3).
  • Indiana ranks ninth in blocks per game (5.5) while Memphis ranks 26th in blocks allowed per game (6.6).
  • Memphis ranks third in assists per game (26.9) while Indiana ranks 11th (25.2).
  • The Pacers rank fifth in fast break points allowed per game (11.5) while the Grizzlies rank 25th (16.3).
  • The Pacers rank seventh in points in the paint per game (50.1) while the Grizzlies rank 20th in points allowed in the paint per game (49.2).
  • Indiana averages 46.3 rebounds per game, which ranks 11th in the NBA. Memphis ranks 13th in rebounds allowed per game (45.1).
  • Indiana ranks third in steals allowed per game (6.6) while Memphis ranks 21st (8.3).
  • Indiana is 4-1 when they allow less than 100 points.
  • In games where they reach 100 points, the Pacers are 9-3 and the Grizzlies are 5-7.
  • Memphis is 2-3 ATS on the road, while Indiana is 3-3-2 ATS at home.
  • The total has gone under in 5 of the Pacers’ 8 home games, while 3 of the Grizzlies’ 5 road games have gone under.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Grizzlies are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Pacers are 2-3.
  • In their last five games, Memphis has 3 unders and 2 overs, while Indiana has 4 unders and 1 over.
  • During their last five games, the Grizzlies have scored an average of 108.6 points per game (0.3 below their season average) and allowed an average of 115.4 points per game (2.4 below their season average).
  • The Pacers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 6.4, up from 4.4 for the season.