Maryland Terrapins at Ohio State Buckeyes – 11/9/2019 Betting Pick

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In a matchup between two squads that are nationally ranked in the Top 21 overall, the No. 21 Maryland Terrapins (+42) will be taking the field their conference counterpart Ohio State Buckeyes at Ohio Stadium. FOX is scheduled to broadcast the action and this afternoon game gets underway at 12:00 p.m. ET.

Betting Preview: Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Maryland Terrapins

Ohio State has been tabbed as the heavy favorite and is currently giving up 42 points to Maryland. If the Terrapins get out in front in the early stages it will create a reasonable in-game betting opportunity. Vegas has placed the over/under (O/U) at 63 points.

The disappointing Terrapins have lost 5.3 units so far and are 4-5 against the spread (ATS). The team’s posted an O/U record of 5-3-1.

The surprising Buckeyes are up 5.0 units this season. The team is 7-1 ATS and has an even O/U record of 4-4.

The flawless Terrapins are just 3-6 straight up (SU), including 1-5 SU against conference opponents. The Buckeyes are 8-0 SU overall and 5-0 SU in conference play.

The Terrapins are looking to get back on track after a 38-7 loss to Michigan last week. Josh Jackson completed just nine-of-20 passes for 97 yards and one interception. Anthony McFarland Jr. (60 rushing yards on 14 attempts) led the running attack while Brian Cobbs (four receptions, 52 yards) and Chigoziem Okonkwo (two catches, 26 yards) handled the receiving duties in the defeat.

The Ohio State Buckeyes are coming off of a lopsided 38-7 win over Wisconsin. The defense did its job in the victory, holding the Badgers to just 108 passing yards and 83 yards on the ground. Quintez Cephus was a bright spot in the defeat, posting 57 yards and a score on three catches for Wisconsin. For Ohio State, Justin Fields completed 12-of-22 passes for 167 yards and two touchdowns. J.K. Dobbins (163 yards on 20 rush attempts, two TDs) and the signal-caller Fields (28 yards on 13 carries, one TD) mounted the running attack as Chris Olave (seven receptions, 93 yards, two TDs) led the pass-catching corps in the win.

Maryland has run the ball on 54.7 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Ohio State has a rush percentage of 63.9 percent. The Terrapins have rushed for 184.2 yards per game (including 137.7 per game versus Big Ten opponents) and have 20 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Buckeyes are averaging 284.3 rush yards per game (308 in conference) and have 23 total rushing TDs.

It seems like the Buckeyes ought to hold an advantage when it comes to effectiveness in the ground game. Their running backs has produced 6.2 yards per carry while the defense is allowing a YPC of 2.5 to opponents. The Terrapins have recorded 5.0 yards per carry while allowing a YPC of 3.9 to opponents.

The Terps offense has logged 200.2 yards/game through the air overall (170.2 per game against conference opposition) and has 14 passing TDs so far. The Buckeyes have put up 230.5 pass yards per game (200 against Big 10 competition) and have 28 total pass scores.

Maryland has allowed opponents to run for an average of 151 yards and throw for 262.8 yards per game. The Ohio State defense has allowed 132.8 yards per game to opposing passers and 91.5 yards per game to opposing runners. The Buckeyes are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 1.95 to opponents, while the Terrapins have allowed a 7.28 ANY/A.

Passing-wise, Jackson has amassed 1,065 yards this year, and has completed 79-of-157 attempts with 10 scores through the air and five interceptions. He has a 5.48 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 0.81 over the past two games.

The Terrapins have tried to control tempo by feeding their running backs early and often. Anthony McFarland Jr. (400 rush yards, seven rush TDs, one receiving TD), Tayon Fleet-Davis (216 rush yards, one rush TD, 120 receiving yards, one receiving TD), and Javon Leake (537 rush yards, seven rush TDs) have delivered in the Maryland offensive scheme.

Justin Fields has completed 110-of-163 passes for 1,465 yards, 20 TDs and one INT for Ohio State. His ANY/A stands at 9.54 for the year and 8.63 over his last two games.

The Buckeyes also prefer to rely on their backfield. Chris Olave (351 receiving yards, six TDs) has gotten involved lately, but J.K. Dobbins (989 rush yards, eight rush TDs, 102 receiving yards, one receiving TD) and Master Teague III (492 rush yards, three rush TDs) have gotten plenty of looks recently.

These two programs met last year with the final result being a 52-51 victory for Ohio State.

Maryland Terrapins at Ohio State Buckeyes Betting Pick

SU Winner: Ohio State, ATS Winner: Maryland, O/U: Under

Team Betting Notes

  • The Over/Under for Maryland’s previous game was set at 58. The under cashed in the team’s 38-7 defeat to Michigan.
  • Maryland has averaged 3.6 yards per carry over its last three games and 3.0 over its last two.
  • Ohio State has averaged 6.4 yards per carry over its last three contests and 6.2 over its last two.
  • Ohio State has lost five fumbles this season while Maryland has lost two.
  • Over its last three contests, Maryland is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
  • Maryland has lost seven of its last eight games SU, with a 41-point win over Rutgers on October 5th representing the only victory over that stretch.
  • The O/U for Ohio State’s last outing was set at 46. The under cashed in the team’s 38-7 victory over Wisconsin.
  • In its last three matches, Ohio State is 3-0 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
  • The Terrapins offense has recorded eight pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Buckeyes have accounted for three such plays.
  • The Maryland defense has allowed eight pass plays of 40+ yards, while Ohio State has given up two such plays.
  • The Maryland offense has created 21 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Ohio State has created 24 such runs.
  • The Terrapins defense has allowed 10 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Buckeyes have given up six such runs.
  • The Ohio State defense has notched 34 sacks on the year while Maryland has just 18.