In a battle of two schools that like to keep it on the ground, Head Coach Billy Napier and the Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns (-14) are set to pay a visit to the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers at Brooks Stadium. This pivotal conference game gets underway at 7:30 p.m. ET and fans can watch the action live on ESPNU. These schools met a year ago with the final result being a 30-28 victory for Coastal Carolina.
Betting Preview: Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs. Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns
Coastal Carolina is a live dog and is currently getting 14 points in this SBC game. The Ragin’ Cajuns are also receiving -735 moneyline odds while the Chanticleers are +500. If one program can create a bunch of points early it would create a solid live betting scenario. Vegas has set the over/under (O/U) at 57.5 points.
This game’s O/U hasn’t moved after it was set initially at 57.5. Having said that, the opening line was 12 and the sharp action has been siding with the Ragin’ Cajuns.
The Ragin’ Cajuns are 7-1 against the spread (ATS) and have gained 1.9 units so far in 2019. The team has posted an O/U record of 4-4.
The Chanticleers have lost 0.5 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 5-3 ATS and own an O/U record of 5-3.
The Ragin’ Cajuns have gone 6-2 straight up (SU), including 3-1 SU against SBC opponents. The Chanticleers are 4-4 SU overall and 1-3 SU in conference play.
The Ragin’ Cajuns are coming off a resounding 31-3 victory over Texas State last week in which Levi Lewis completed 13-of-21 passes for just 183 yards and two touchdowns. Raymond Calais (83 yards on 21 rush attempts) and Elijah Mitchell (126 yards on 13 carries, one TD) led the running attack while Jalen Williams (three receptions, 50 yards) and Pearse Migl (two catches, 18 yards) manned the receiving duties in the win.
Coastal Carolina is coming off of a 36-35 win over Troy. The defense allowed the Trojans to pass for 385 yards and three touchdowns while rushing for 115 yards and two scores. Kaylon Geiger was a bright spot in the loss, posting 145 yards on 12 catches for Troy. For Coastal Carolina, Bryce Carpenter completed 32-of-45 passes for 285 yards and one touchdown. Carpenter (46 yards on 15 rush attempts) and CJ Marable (52 yards on 14 carries, one TD) handled the running game as Jaivon Heiligh (12 receptions, 107 yards) and Isaiah Likely (six catches, 49 yards, one TD) led the pass-catching attack in the win.
Louisiana’s run the ball on 61.7 percent of its offensive plays this year, including 65.9 percent across possessions in conference play. Coastal Carolina has a rush percentage of 58.6 percent, and has carried the ball 55 percent of the time against SBC opponents. The Ragin’ Cajuns have rushed for 288 yards per game (including 252.3 per game against Sun Belt opponents) and have 29 scores on the ground this year. The Chanticleers are putting up 195.3 rushing yards per game (145.3 in conference) and have 19 total rush TDs.
Based on the numbers so far, it’s looking like the Ragin’ Cajuns may hold an edge in terms of RB efficiency, since their running backs has produced 6.7 yards per carry while the defense is allowing 4.0 yards per rush attempt to opponents. The Chanticleers have ran for 4.7 yards per carry and given up a YPC of 4.3 to opponents.
The Ragin’ Cajuns offensive scheme has averaged 203.1 yards through the air overall (165 per game against conference opposition) and has 12 passing TDs so far. The Chanticleers have put up 210.4 pass yards per contest (210 against SBC foes) and have 14 total pass scores.
Louisiana has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 152.1 yards and pass for 198.6 yards per game. The Coastal Carolina D has allowed 175.5 yards per game to opposing passers and 172.9 yards per game on the ground. The Ragin’ Cajuns are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 4.86 to opponents, while the Chanticleers have allowed a 6.25 ANY/A.
Passing-wise, Lewis has put up 1,294 yards this season, and has connected on 63 percent of his 167 attempts with 11 passing scores and only two interceptions. He has a 7.80 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 7.67 over the last two games.
The Ragin’ Cajuns have tried to control the clock by feeding their running backs early and often. Jalen Williams (88 yards) has been involved recently in the passing game, but backfield mates Raymond Calais (403 rush yards, two rush TDs, 49 receiving yards, one receiving TD) and Elijah Mitchell (596 rush yards, 10 rush TDs) have really been focal points in the offensive gameplans for Louisiana.
On the other sideline, Bryce Carpenter has managed to complete 53-of-80 passes for 547 yards, six TDs and zero INTs. Carpenter’s ANY/A stands at 7.51 for the year and 6.19 across his last two games.
The Chanticleers also like to utilize their backfield. Along with Jaivon Heiligh (416 receiving yards, two receiving TDs), CJ Marable (560 rush yards, six rush TDs, 244 receiving yards, three receiving TDs) and Jacqez Hairston (219 rush yards, five rush TDs) have seen a multitude of action recently.
Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns at Coastal Carolina Chanticleers Free Prediction
SU Winner: Louisiana, ATS Winner: Louisiana, O/U: Over
Betting Trends
- The Over/Under for Louisiana’s previous game was set at 55. The under cashed in the team’s 31-3 win over Texas State.
- As a team, Louisiana has produced 5.7 yards per carry over its past three outings and 6.4 over its last two.
- Coastal Carolina has averaged 3.8 yards per carry over its last three contests and 3.8 over its last two.
- Coastal Carolina has lost five fumbles this season while Louisiana has lost eight.
- In its last three games, Louisiana is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in each of those three.
- Louisiana has won seven of its last eight games SU, with an October 9th defeat to Appalachian State representing the only loss over that stretch.
- The O/U for Coastal Carolina’s previous game was set at 61. The over cashed in that 36-35 triumph over Troy.
- In its last three matchups, Coastal Carolina is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
- The Ragin’ Cajuns offense has produced three pass plays of 40 yards or more, while the Chanticleers have accounted for two such plays.
- The Louisiana defense has allowed four pass plays of 40 yards or more, while Coastal Carolina has given up three such plays.
- The Louisiana offense has created 24 rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while Coastal Carolina has created 13 such runs.
- The Ragin’ Cajuns defense has allowed nine rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Chanticleers have given up eight such runs.
- The Louisiana D has 16 sacks on the year while Coastal Carolina has 15.
