Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs. Georgia State Panthers ATS Prediction 01/12/19

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The Georgia State Panthers (12-4, 3-0 SBC) and the Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks (9-6, 2-1 SBC) face off at GSU Sports Arena. The Panthers will try to extend their five-game winning streak. The game starts at 1 p.m. ET on Saturday, January 12, 2019.

Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs. Georgia State Panthers ATS Odds

In their last matchup, the Panthers defeated the Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns, 89-76, while the Warhawks lost a winnable game to the Georgia Southern Eagles, 79-78.

Georgia State played a nearly perfect game. They had an absurd effective field goal percentage of 0.636 (above their season average of 0.550) and a free throw rate of 0.237 (matching their season average). Louisiana recorded marks of 0.470 and 0.212, respectively, for those same stats. Louisiana-Monroe, meanwhile, held Georgia Southern to an offensive rebounding percentage of 21.6 (below their season average of 27.2). Georgia State rallied around D’Marcus Simonds, who put up 21 points and six assists. Daishon Smith, meanwhile had a solid performance for Louisiana-Monroe, putting up 27 points, six rebounds and five assists.

The Warhawks won the sole game between these two teams last season, 90-82. Louisiana-Monroe made 17 of its 38 three pointers (44.7 percent). Georgia State, meanwhile, had a much better turnover percentage (4.9 vs. 17.0). This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams.

Michael Ertel has been superb recently for Louisiana-Monroe, averaging 17 points,4.0 assists over the last five games.

The prolific offense of Georgia State will face off against the mid-tier defense of Louisiana-Monroe. The Panthers currently rank 86th in offensive efficiency, while the Warhawks are 191st in defensive efficiency. The Panthers should have the advantage on that side of the ball. Also, the Warhawks commit the 44th-fewest errors in the nation (turnover percentage of 16.5 percent), while the ball-hawking defense of the Panthers causes the 60th-most (opponents’ turnover percentage of 22.2 percent).

Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs. Georgia State Panthers Pick

Basketball Pick: SU Winner – Georgia State, ATS Winner – Louisiana-Monroe, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • Louisiana-Monroe averages 24.1 three pointers per game, which ranks 99th in the NCAA. Georgia State ranks 241st in three pointers allowed per game (26.9).
  • The Warhawks rank 187th in rebounds allowed per game (36.7) while the Panthers rank 236th (38.8).
  • Louisiana-Monroe ranks 150th in assists per game (13.2) while Georgia State ranks 197th in assists allowed per game (15.1).
  • The Panthers rank 25th in blocks per game (4.9) while the Warhawks rank 154th (2.4).
  • Georgia State ranks 17th in steals per game (8.8) while Louisiana-Monroe ranks 137th (5.8).

Bettings Trends:

  • The Panthers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 17.0, up from 4.4 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the Warhawks have scored an average of 81.8 points per game (5.4 above their season average) and allowed an average of 76.4 points per game (6.3 above their season average).