The Los Angeles Rams (-10.5) aren’t traveling far to take on their NFC West counterpart San Francisco 49ers at Levi’s Stadium. This late afternoon game is scheduled to kick off at 4:25 p.m. ET and CBS will televise the action.
Week 7 Betting Preview: San Francisco 49ers vs. Los Angeles Rams
In this Sunday NFC game, Los Angeles is labeled as the heavy favorite and is currently giving up 10.5 points. If they want to play the moneyline, bettors would currently have to put down $500 in order to win $100 back on the Rams (-500). The 49ers are getting +340 moneyline odds. Oddsmakers have placed the over/under (O/U) at 52 points. If Los Angeles gets down in the early stages, it would likely result in a reasonable in-game betting opportunity.
The line opened at 11. The game’s O/U hasn’t changed since it opened at 52.
The profitable Rams have gained 6.0 units so far in 2018 and are 3-2-1 against the spread (ATS). The team has posted an O/U mark of 3-3.
The lackluster 49ers have lost 4.5 units this season. They’re 2-4 ATS and own an O/U record of 5-1.
The Rams have gone 6-0 straight up (SU), including 2-0 SU against NFC West opponents. The 49ers are 1-5 SU overall and 0-1 SU against divisional foes.
The Rams are looking to stay undefeated following a 23-20 win over Denver in Week 6 in which Jared Goff completed only 14-of-28 passes for 201 yards and one interception. Todd Gurley II (208 rushing yards on 28 attempts, two TDs) led the running attack while Robert Woods (seven receptions, 109 yards) and Brandin Cooks (two catches, 53 yards) handled the receiving duties in the win.
In Week 6, Green Bay knocked off this San Francisco crew by a score of 33-30. C.J. Beathard completed 16-of-23 passes for 245 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. Matt Breida (61 yards on 14 rush attempts, one TD) and Raheem Mostert (87 yards on 12 carries) handled the running game as Marquise Goodwin (four receptions, 126 yards, two TDs) and George Kittle (four catches, 30 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the loss.
Los Angeles has run the ball on 48.4 percent of its offensive possessions this year while San Francisco has a rush percentage of 45.1 percent. The Rams have rushed for 154.3 yards/game (including 122.5 per game versus West opponents) and have nine touchdowns on the ground this year. The Niners are logging 142.5 rush yards per game (147.0 in conference) and have four total rushing TDs.
If 2018 numbers can translate to this game, then it’s looking like the Rams should hold an advantage when it comes to applying pressure, as their offensive line has given up only 28 sacks while their D-line registered 48 sacks. The 49ers, on the other hand, have allowed 43 sacks and their defense has generated only 30 sacks.
The Rams offensive scheme has logged 321.3 yards per game in the air overall (337.5 per game against conference opposition) and has 12 passing scores so far. The Niners have produced 268.3 pass yards per game (349 in the NFC) and have 11 total pass TDs.
On the defensive side of the ball, Los Angeles appears to have the upper hand when it comes to limiting the pass. The team has allowed 99.0 rush yards and 260.2 pass yards per game. The San Francisco defense has allowed 291.7 yards per game to opposing passers and 98.2 yards per game to opposing runners. The Rams are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 6.54 to opponents, while the Niners have given up a 7.67 ANY/A.
Offensively, Goff is up to 1,607 passing yards this season, and has connected on 111-of-162 attempts with 11 passing scores and only three interceptions. He’s got a 9.49 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 5.64 over the last two games.
Todd Gurley II, Robert Woods and Cooper Kupp have combined for 706 yards from scrimmage and six touchdowns over the last couple of outings.
C.J. Beathard has completed 39-of-60 passes for 543 yards, four TDs and three INTs for San Francisco. His ANY/A stands at 7.30 for the season and 5.69 across his last two games.
We’re thinking the Niners will control tempo by feeding the ball-carriers early and often. In addition to Marquise Goodwin (180 receiving yards, three receiving TDs this season), Matt Breida (374 rush yards, two rush TDs) and Kyle Juszczyk (zero rush yards, 152 receiving yards, one TD) have brought significant production to the 49ers’ recent offensive gameplans.
Los Angeles Rams at San Francisco 49ers Free Prediction
SU Winner: Rams, ATS Winner: 49ers, O/U: Under
Team Betting Trends
- San Francisco has lost six fumbles this season while Los Angeles has lost one.
- Each team defense has produced 12 sacks this season.
- As a team, Los Angeles has rushed for 5.9 yards per attempt over its last three games and 6.2 over its last two.
- San Francisco has averaged 4.7 yards per carry over its last three contests and 5.0 over its last two.
- Over its last three contests, San Francisco is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in each of those three.
- The O/U for Los Angeles’ previous game was set at 50. The under cashed in the team’s 23-20 victory over Denver.
- In its last three contests, Los Angeles is 0-2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
- The O/U for San Francisco’s last outing was 46.5. The over cashed in the 33-30 defeat to Green Bay.
