Los Angeles Lakers vs. Dallas Mavericks ATS Prediction 01/10/20

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The Dallas Mavericks (23-14) and their outstanding offense welcome the Los Angeles Lakers (30-7) and their stifling defense. The game starts at 9:45 p.m. ET on Friday, January 10, 2020.

Los Angeles Lakers vs. Dallas Mavericks ATS Odds

The Lakers easily got past the New York Knicks in their last game, 117-87, comfortably covering as 13.5-point favorites. The Mavericks, on the other hand, were beaten by the Denver Nuggets, 107-106, and failed to cover as 4.5-point underdogs. The Los Angeles game went 19.5 points under the projected point total of 223.5, while the Dallas game went 10.5 points under the projected point total of 223.5.

The Lakers made 18 of their 21 free throws (85.7 percent) and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.604 (above their season average of 0.543). Dallas, meanwhile, had a free throw rate of 0.208 (above their season average of 0.207). Dallas was lifted by Luka Doncic, who contributed 27 points, 10 assists and nine rebounds. Meanwhile, LeBron James was a key piece for Los Angeles with 31 points, five rebounds and five assists.

In three matchups against each other this season, the Lakers have won two. The two teams combined for 203 points in their most recent game, which was well under the projected point total of 224. Los Angeles won 108-95, covering as a 5-point favorite. Los Angeles made good use of their 28 trips to the free throw line, converting on 23 of them (82.1 percent). Dallas, meanwhile, was 18-20 (90.0 percent). James put up a double-double in the victory with 13 points and 13 assists.

Of the Lakers’ 37 games, 22 have finished under the total. Los Angeles holds records of 30-7 straight up (SU) and 19-17-1 against the spread (ATS).

Unlike Los Angeles, games involving the Mavericks tend to finish over the total (62.2 percent). Additionally, Dallas is 23-14 SU and 21-16 ATS.

The game should be a matchup of strength against strength as the productive offense of Dallas (first in the league with an offensive efficiency of 114.5) takes on the elite defense of Los Angeles (third in the league with a defensive efficiency of 102.5).

Los Angeles Lakers at Dallas Mavericks Odds Pick

Free NBA Tip: SU Winner – Mavericks, ATS Winner – Mavericks, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Lakers rank fifth in second chance points allowed per game (12.0) while the Mavericks rank 14th (13.1).
  • Los Angeles ranks second in fast break points per game (18.1) while Dallas ranks 29th in fast break points allowed per game (16.1).
  • The Mavericks rank second in three pointers attempted per game (41.4) while the Lakers rank 23rd (30.5).
  • Los Angeles ranks fifth in points off turnovers per game (18.3) while Dallas ranks 26th (15.7).
  • Los Angeles ranks third in rebounds allowed per game (42.0) while Dallas ranks 15th (45.4).
  • The Lakers rank third in steals per game (8.7) while the Mavericks rank 27th (6.6).
  • The Lakers rank first in blocks per game (7.5) while the Mavericks rank 19th (4.7).
  • Los Angeles ranks fifth in assists per game (26.1) while Dallas ranks 13th (24.6).
  • Los Angeles ranks second in points in the paint per game (53.1) while Dallas ranks 24th (44.6).
  • Los Angeles is 13-0 when they allow under 100 points, while Dallas is 5-0.
  • When scoring over 100 points, the Mavericks are 23-12 and the Lakers are 26-7.
  • Dallas is 8-12 ATS at home, while Los Angeles is 9-9 ATS on the road.
  • The Lakers have 10 unders and 8 overs in 18 road games.
  • The Mavericks have 12 overs and 8 unders in 20 home games.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Lakers are 2-2-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Mavericks are 2-3.
  • In their last five games, Los Angeles has 4 unders and 1 over, while Dallas has 3 overs and 2 unders.
  • During their last five games, the Lakers have scored an average of 114.2 points per game (1.4 above their season average) and allowed an average of 100.2 points per game (4.7 below their season average).
  • The Mavericks’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 2.2, down from 7.2 for the season.