Los Angeles Lakers at Detroit Pistons Betting Prediction

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The Detroit Pistons (33-40) will be 4.5-point favorites at home in Little Caesars Arena when they square off against the Los Angeles Lakers (32-40). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 215.5 points and it can be seen on Fox Sports – Detroit at 7 p.m. ET on Monday, March 26, 2018.

Los Angeles Lakers at Detroit Pistons ATS Odds

Both teams were triumphant in their last game. The Pistons dismantled the Chicago Bulls 117-95, while the Lakers defeated the Memphis Grizzlies 100-93.

The Lakers held the Grizzlies to an effective field goal percentage of 0.446 (below their season average of 0.497) and had an offensive rebounding percentage of 25.6 (above their season average of 23.9). The Pistons, meanwhile, knocked down 15 of their 18 free throws (83.3 percent) and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.586 (above their season average of 0.508). Detroit’s Andre Drummond had a good outing, contributing 15 points and 20 rebounds. Kyle Kuzma played a pivotal role for Los Angeles with 25 points and 10 rebounds.

Los Angeles could have a difficult time creating turnovers. Detroit ranks ninth in the NBA at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 13.3 percent), while Los Angeles forces the 20th-most turnovers (13.4 percent). This game should be a matchup of opposite tempos. The up-and-down Lakers rank first in possessions per game, while the slower-paced Pistons rank 21st.

Lakers games have gone over the total 52.8 percent of the time. Los Angeles heads into the game with records of 32-40 straight up (SU) and 38-33-1 against the spread (ATS).

Of the Pistons’ 73 games, 41 have finished under the projected point total. Moreover, Detroit owns records of 33-40 SU and 34-37-2 ATS.

Julius Randle has really been playing well as of late for Los Angeles, averaging 23.4 points and 10.8 rebounds over the last five games.

In their first matchup this year, Larry Nance Jr. led the Lakers to a 113-93 victory. He registered a double-double with 14 points and 12 rebounds. The two teams combined to put up 206 points, which was just under the projected point total of 207.5, and Los Angeles covered as a 3-point underdog. Los Angeles’ 0.121 free throw rate was their biggest advantage over Detroit, who had a rate of 0.011.

Los Angeles Lakers vs. Detroit Pistons Pick

Prediction: SU Winner – Pistons, ATS Winner – Lakers, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Lakers average 29.1 three pointers per game, which ranks 16th in the NBA. The Pistons rank 23rd in three pointers allowed per game (30.5).
  • Detroit ranks eighth in points allowed in the paint per game (43.1) while Los Angeles ranks last (49.0).
  • The Pistons rank second in fast break points allowed per game (9.6) while the Lakers rank 21st (12.8).
  • Los Angeles averages 23.7 assists per game, which ranks seventh in the league. Detroit ranks 26th in assists allowed per game (24.8).
  • Los Angeles ranks 15th in blocks per game (4.8) while Detroit ranks 28th (4.0).
  • The Pistons rank seventh in points off turnovers allowed per game (15.0) while the Lakers rank 26th (18.5).
  • The Lakers average 46.2 rebounds per game, which ranks second in the league. The Pistons rank 19th in rebounds allowed per game (43.8).
  • Detroit ranks 18th in steals per game (7.7) while Los Angeles ranks 23rd in steals allowed per game (8.2).
  • Detroit ranks seventh in second chance points allowed per game (11.5) while Los Angeles ranks 26th (13.5).
  • When allowing less than 100 points, Los Angeles is 12-4 and Detroit is 19-6.
  • When reaching the century mark, the Lakers are 29-26 and the Pistons are 29-17.
  • Los Angeles is 19-18-1 ATS on the road, while Detroit is 16-19-1 ATS at home.
  • The Lakers have 21 overs and 17 unders in 38 road games.
  • Of the Pistons’ 36 home games, they have 18 unders, 17 overs and 1 push.

Bettings Trends:

  • In their last five games, Los Angeles and Detroit have both had 4 unders and 1 over.
  • The Pistons are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Lakers are 1-3-1.
  • The Pistons have outscored opponents by an average of 9.6 points in their last five games. For the season, Detroit has lost by an average of 0.8 points.
  • During their last five games, the Lakers have scored an average of 104.4 points per game (4.1 below their season average) and allowed an average of 108.0 points per game (2.0 below their season average).