Los Angeles Lakers at San Antonio Spurs Betting Prediction 11/03/19

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The San Antonio Spurs (4-1) will be at home in the AT&T Center when they clash against the Los Angeles Lakers (4-1). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 216 points and it is scheduled to start at 7 p.m. ET on Sunday, November 3, 2019.

Los Angeles Lakers vs. San Antonio Spurs ATS Odds

Both teams covered in their last contest. The Spurs (7-point favorites) defeated the Golden State Warriors 127-110, while the Lakers (1-point underdog) beat the Dallas Mavericks 119-110. Both games finished over their projected point totals. The San Antonio game finished 14.5 points over the projected point total of 222.5, while the Los Angeles game finished 12 points over the projected point total of 217.

Los Angeles played a nearly perfect game. They had a solid turnover percentage of 9.5 (better than their season average of 13.0) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.536 (above their season average of 0.513). Dallas put up marks of 16.4 and 0.461, respectively, for those same stats. The Spurs, on the other hand, had an absurd offensive rebounding percentage of 33.3 (above their season average of 24.2), while the Warriors had a free throw rate of 0.226 (below their season average of 0.276). Patty Mills played a pivotal role for San Antonio with 31 points. Meanwhile, LeBron James played a massive role in the victory for Los Angeles, accumulating 39 points, 16 assists and 12 rebounds on his way to his zeroth triple-double of the season.

The Spurs edged out the Lakers in this series last year, taking three out of four contests. In the last contest, San Antonio won 133-120. San Antonio made good use of their 33 trips to the free throw line, converting on 28 of them (84.8 percent). Los Angeles, meanwhile, was 17-21 (81.0 percent).

Vegas is known to set the total high when the Lakers are involved, as 60.0 percent of their games have gone under the total. Los Angeles heads into the game with records of 4-1 straight up (SU) and 4-1 against the spread (ATS).

Contrary to Los Angeles, games involving the Spurs have a tendency to finish over the projected point total (60.0 percent). San Antonio has a superb 4-1 SU record, but they have trouble covering the spread (1-4 ATS).

There’s a decent chance that Los Angeles struggles to create turnovers. Dating back to the 2018-19 season, San Antonio ranks first in the league at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 11.7 percent), while Los Angeles has forced the 15th-most turnovers (13.1 percent). This game should be a matchup of conflicting paces. The up-tempo Lakers rank third in possessions per game, while the slower-paced Spurs rank 28th.

Lakers at Spurs ATS Pick

NBA Prediction: SU Winner – Lakers, ATS Winner – Lakers, O/U – Over

Betting Notes (2018-Present):

  • The Lakers rank 21st in second chance points per game (12.8) while the Spurs rank 28th (11.7).
  • San Antonio ranks fourth in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.7) while Los Angeles ranks 28th (18.3).
  • The Spurs rank fourth in steals allowed per game (7.0) while the Lakers rank 26th (8.3).
  • San Antonio ranks sixth in rebounds allowed per game (43.9) while Los Angeles ranks 26th (46.9).
  • San Antonio ranks third in blocks allowed per game (4.0) while Los Angeles ranks 15th (5.0).
  • The Lakers rank second in fast break points per game (19.1) while the Spurs rank 26th (10.8).
  • The Lakers rank 17th in three pointers attempted per game (30.9) while the Spurs rank last (24.9).
  • Los Angeles ranks 11th in assists per game (25.4) while San Antonio ranks 18th in assists allowed per game (24.7).
  • Los Angeles ranks second in points in the paint per game (55.5) while San Antonio ranks 25th (43.9).
  • Los Angeles is 9-0 when they hold opponents under 100 points, while San Antonio is 17-4.
  • The Lakers are 39-36 when they reach the century mark, while the Spurs are 54-24.