Los Angeles Lakers at Memphis Grizzlies Free Prediction 11/23/19

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The Los Angeles Lakers (13-2) head to FedExForum to clash against the Memphis Grizzlies (5-9). The Lakers are a 7.5-point favorite and look to continue their six-game winning streak. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 221 points and it will air on Fox Sports – Southeast at 8 p.m. ET on Saturday, November 23, 2019.

Los Angeles Lakers at Memphis Grizzlies Betting Odds

The Lakers barely escaped the Oklahoma City Thunder in their last matchup, 130-127, despite being 11.5-point underdogs. The Grizzlies, meanwhile, were blown out by the Golden State Warriors, 114-95, and failed to cover as 6.5-point underdogs. The Los Angeles game finished 47.5 points over the projected point total of 209.5, while the Memphis game went 12.5 points under the projected point total of 221.5.

Los Angeles played a nearly perfect game. They had an offensive rebounding percentage of 26.2 (above their season average of 23.5) and a free throw rate of 0.261 (above their season average of 0.171). Oklahoma City had marks of 15.0 and 0.194, respectively, for those same stats. Memphis, on the other hand, had a better turnover percentage (11.1 vs. 12.3). Jae Crowder put together a solid performance for Memphis with 15 points and 11 rebounds. Anthony Davis, meanwhile had a good game for Los Angeles, recording 33 points, 11 rebounds and seven assists.

In their first matchup this year, Davis led the Lakers to a 120-91 victory. He registered a double-double with 40 points and 20 rebounds. The two teams combined to put up 211 points, which was under the projected point total of 220, and Los Angeles covered as a 12-point favorite. Los Angeles was effective at getting and making free throws. The Lakers made 33 of their 39 free throws (84.6 percent), while the Grizzlies were 22-23 (95.7 percent).

Vegas is exceedingly precise when predicting totals of Lakers games, with an even split between overs and unders. Los Angeles heads into the contest with records of 13-2 straight up (SU) and 9-5 against the spread (ATS).

Vegas has a tendency to set the total high when the Grizzlies are involved, as 57.1 percent of their games have finished under the O/U total. Moreover, Memphis is 5-9 SU and 5-9 ATS.

Memphis might struggle to score as they clash against one of the league’s best defenses. Los Angeles currently ranks third in defensive efficiency, while the Grizzlies rank 27th in offensive efficiency.

Lakers at Grizzlies Betting Pick

Prediction: SU Winner – Lakers, ATS Winner – Lakers, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Lakers average 8.3 steals per game, which ranks seventh in the NBA. The Grizzlies rank 16th in steals allowed per game (8.0).
  • Los Angeles ranks second in second chance points per game (15.5). Memphis ranks 26th in second chance points allowed per game (15.2).
  • The Lakers rank ninth in points off turnovers allowed per game (16.7) while the Grizzlies rank 29th (21.9).
  • Los Angeles ranks third in assists per game (27.0) while Memphis ranks 22nd in assists allowed per game (25.5).
  • Los Angeles ranks fifth in rebounds allowed per game (42.3) while Memphis ranks 15th (45.5).
  • The Lakers rank first in blocks allowed per game (3.4) while the Grizzlies rank 23rd (6.6).
  • The Lakers average 53.2 points in the paint per game, which ranks second in the league. The Grizzlies rank 18th in points allowed in the paint per game (49.4).
  • Memphis ranks 20th in three pointers attempted per game (30.6) while Los Angeles ranks 25th (29.7).
  • Los Angeles averages 15.5 fast break points per game, which ranks fifth in the NBA. Memphis ranks 26th in fast break points allowed per game (16.3).
  • Los Angeles is 6-0 when they hold opponents below 100 points.
  • When scoring more than 100 points, the Grizzlies are 5-6 and the Lakers are 10-2.
  • Memphis is 3-6 ATS at home, while Los Angeles is 3-2 ATS on the road.
  • The Lakers have 3 overs and 2 unders in 5 road games.
  • The Grizzlies have 5 unders and 4 overs in 9 home games.

Bettings Trends:

  • In their last five games, Los Angeles and Memphis are both 3-2 ATS.
  • The Lakers have 3 overs and 2 unders over their last five games, while the Grizzlies have 3 unders and 2 overs
  • The Lakers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 11.4, up from 9.3 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the Grizzlies have scored an average of 109.6 points per game (0.6 above their season average) and allowed an average of 115.4 points per game (3.0 below their season average).