The Denver Nuggets (13-7) will be 4-point favorites at home in the Pepsi Center when they challenge the Los Angeles Lakers (11-8). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 215 points and it will air on NBATV at 9 p.m. ET on Tuesday, November 27, 2018.
Los Angeles Lakers at Denver Nuggets Betting Odds
The Nuggets will look to keep it rolling after defeating the Oklahoma City Thunder in their last contest, 105-98, as 6-point underdogs. The Lakers, meanwhile, were topped by the Orlando Magic, 108-104, and were not able to cover as 7.5-point underdogs. The Denver game went 14 points under the projected point total of 217, while the Los Angeles game finished 4 points under the projected point total of 216.
The Nuggets knocked down 17 of their 24 free throws (70.8 percent) and held the Thunder to an effective field goal percentage of 0.403 (below their season average of 0.502). Los Angeles, on the other hand, had a free throw rate of 0.253 (above their season average of 0.176). Jamal Murray played a key role for Denver with 22 points, eight rebounds and eight assists. Meanwhile, LeBron James had a good outing for Los Angeles, finishing with 24 points and seven assists.
In their first matchup this year, James led the Lakers to a 121-114 victory. He registered a triple-double with 28 points, 11 rebounds and 11 assists. The two teams combined to score 235 points, which was just over the projected point total of 234.5, and Los Angeles covered as a 1-point underdog. The Lakers’ 11.3 turnover percentage was their largest advantage over the Nuggets, who had a mark of 15.9.
Of the Lakers’ 19 games, 11 have gone under the projected point total. Los Angeles comes into the contest with records of 11-8 straight up (SU) and 7-12 against the spread (ATS).
Coinciding with Los Angeles, Nuggets games also have typically gone under the O/U total (65.0 percent). Moreover, Denver is 13-7 SU and 11-9 ATS.
The offensive glass should be a major edge for Denver in this matchup. The Nuggets currently rank third in offensive rebounding percentage (27.1 percent), while Los Angeles ranks 23rd in defensive rebounding percentage (75.2 percent). This contest should be a showdown of contrasting styles. The up-tempo Lakers rank third in possessions per game, while the slower-paced Nuggets rank 24th.
Lakers vs. Nuggets Odds Pick
Free Prediction: SU Winner – Nuggets, ATS Winner – Nuggets, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- The Lakers rank 7 in steals per game (8.578947368421053) while the Nuggets rank 18 in steals allowed per game (7.8).
- Denver averages 53.4 points in the paint per game, which ranks sixth in the league. Los Angeles ranks 28th in points alslowed in the paint per game (52.1).
- The Nuggets rank fifth in second chance points per game (15.7) while the Lakers rank 19th in second chance points allowed per game (13.8).
- Los Angeles averages 18.3 points off turnovers per game, which ranks eighth in the league. Denver ranks 20th in points off turnovers allowed (17.6 per game).
- Denver averages 26.4 assists per game, which ranks 4 in the league. Los Angeles ranks 16 in assists allowed per game (23.526315789473685).
- The Nuggets rank third in rebounds allowed per game (41.6) while the Lakers rank 24th (46.5).
- The Lakers rank 2 in fast break points per game (20.473684210526315) while the Nuggets rank 14 (13.15).
- Los Angeles averages 6.4 blocks per game, which ranks fourth in the league. Denver ranks 23rd in blocks allowed per game (5.7).
- When holding opponents under 100 points, Los Angeles is 3-0 and Denver is 8-1.
- When reaching 100 points, the Lakers are 10-8 and the Nuggets are 13-4.
- Denver is 7-4 ATS at home, while Los Angeles is 4-5 ATS on the road.
- The Lakers have 5 unders and 4 overs in 9 road games.
- The Nuggets have 6 unders and 5 overs in 11 home games.
Bettings Trends:
- In their last five games, Los Angeles and Denver have both had 4 unders and 1 over.
- The Nuggets are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Lakers are 2-3.
- During their last five games, the Nuggets have scored an average of 106.6 points per game (3.4 below their season average) and allowed an average of 103.0 points per game (0.1 below their season average).
- The Lakers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 2.0, up from 1.5 for the season.
