The Los Angeles Lakers (21-19) will travel to the American Airlines Center to meet the Dallas Mavericks (18-21). The game starts at 8:30 p.m. ET on Monday, January 7, 2019.
Los Angeles Lakers at Dallas Mavericks Betting Odds
Both teams fell in their last outing. The Lakers (5.5-point underdogs) were defeated by the Minnesota Timberwolves, 108-86, while the Mavericks (6.5-point underdogs) fell to the Philadelphia 76ers, 106-100. The Los Angeles game went 28.5 points under the projected point total of 222.5, while the Dallas game went 21.5 points under the projected point total of 227.5.
Los Angeles held Minnesota to an offensive rebounding percentage of 18.2 (below their season average of 24.5) while Dallas held Philadelphia to an offensive rebounding percentage of 18.4 (below their season average of 23.4). Dallas received a boost from Jalen Brunson, who contributed 13 points, 11 rebounds and eight assists. Lance Stephenson, meanwhile played a key role for Los Angeles with 14 points, six assists and five rebounds.
In their two contests this year, the Lakers have won both. In their most recent game, the two teams combined to score 217 points, just under the projected point total of 221. Los Angeles won 114-103, covering as a 4-point favorite. Los Angeles’ 0.541 effective field goal percentage was its largest advantage over Dallas, who had a mark of 0.453. Harrison Barnes scored a game-high 29 points.
Vegas is known to set the total high when the Lakers are involved, as 59.0 percent of their games have ended under the O/U total. Los Angeles holds records of 21-19 straight up (SU) and 16-22-1 against the spread (ATS).
Of the Mavericks’ 39 games, 19 have finished over the O/U total. Additionally, Dallas owns records of 18-21 SU and 24-15 ATS.
Brandon Ingram has been playing at a high level as of late for Los Angeles, averaging 20 points,7.4 rebounds,3.8 assists over the last five games.
Contrasting styles will be on display in this showdown. Los Angeles has preferred to play up-tempo (second in possessions per game), while Dallas has been slower-paced (14th in possessions per game).
Los Angeles Lakers at Dallas Mavericks Free Pick
NBA Tip: SU Winner – Lakers, ATS Winner – Lakers, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- The Lakers rank 14th in assists per game (24.4) while the Mavericks rank 22nd in assists allowed per game (24.5).
- Los Angeles averages 19.9 fast break points per game, which ranks second in the league. Dallas ranks last in fast break points allowed per game (16.6).
- The Lakers rank fourth in blocks per game (5.8) while the Mavericks rank 22nd (4.4).
- Los Angeles averages 8.0 steals per game, which ranks 13th in the league. Dallas ranks 26th in steals allowed per game (8.7).
- Dallas ranks 16th in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.0) while Los Angeles ranks 26th (17.9).
- The Lakers rank second in points in the paint per game (55.2) while the Mavericks rank 23rd (46.1).
- The Mavericks rank fifth in three pointers attempted per game (34.4) while the Lakers rank 16th (31.1).
- Dallas averages 13.5 second chance points per game, which ranks 11th in the NBA. Los Angeles ranks 15th in second chance points allowed per game (13.3).
- Dallas ranks sixth in rebounds allowed per game (43.6) while Los Angeles ranks 26th (47.0).
- Los Angeles is 6-0 when they hold opponents under 100 points, while Dallas is 5-2.
- The Lakers are 20-16 when they reach 100 points, while the Mavericks are 18-18.
- Los Angeles is 8-10 ATS on the road, while Dallas is 14-4 ATS at home.
- Of the Lakers’ 18 road games, they have 9 overs and 9 unders.
- The Mavericks have 9 overs and 9 unders in 18 home games.
Bettings Trends:
- The Mavericks are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Lakers are 2-3.
- In their last five games, Dallas has 4 unders and 1 push, while Los Angeles has 3 overs and 2 unders.
- During their last five games, the Mavericks have scored an average of 104.4 points per game (5.8 below their season average) and allowed an average of 105.8 points per game (3.9 below their season average).
- The Lakers have been outscored by an average of 8.0 points in their last five games. For the season, Los Angeles has defeated opponents by an average of 0.9 points.
