Los Angeles Lakers at Atlanta Hawks Free Prediction 02/12/19

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Expect a fast-paced game when the Los Angeles Lakers (28-28), 5-point favorites, visit Atlanta to play the Hawks (18-38). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 236 points and it can be seen on Fox Sports – Southeast at 7:30 p.m. ET on Tuesday, February 12, 2019.

Los Angeles Lakers at Atlanta Hawks ATS Odds

Both teams failed to cover as underdogs in their last contest. The Hawks (1-point underdogs) were defeated by the Orlando Magic, 124-108, while the Lakers (6.5-point underdogs) fell to the Philadelphia 76ers, 143-120. Both games went over their projected point totals. The Atlanta game went 7.5 points over the projected point total of 224.5, while the Los Angeles game finished 28.5 points over the projected point total of 234.5.

Los Angeles held Philadelphia to an offensive rebounding percentage of 17.1 (below their season average of 24.2) while Atlanta made 13 of their 32 three pointers (40.6 percent). Trae Young had a good performance for Atlanta with 13 points, seven assists and five rebounds. Los Angeles was lifted by Kyle Kuzma, who contributed 39 points.

In their first matchup this season, LeBron James led the Lakers to a 107-106 victory. He was the game’s leading scorer with 26 points. Los Angeles was unable to cover as an 11-point favorite and the two teams combined to put up 213 points, which was well under the projected point total of 236.5. Los Angeles had a better free throw rate (0.163 vs. 0.116). Atlanta, meanwhile, had a better turnover percentage (14.4 vs. 17.7).

Vegas is known to place the total high when the Lakers are playing, as 58.9 percent of their games have ended under the projected point total. Los Angeles comes into the contest with records of 28-28 straight up (SU) and 24-30-2 against the spread (ATS).

Contrary to Los Angeles, games featuring the Hawks have a tendency to go over the total (57.1 percent). Further, Atlanta owns records of 18-38 SU and 24-32 ATS.

There should be a fair amount of transition action in this matchup that showcases a pair of the NBA’s more fast-breaking teams. Atlanta ranks third in possessions per game (106.1) and Los Angeles is second (106.1).

Lakers at Hawks Free Pick

Free Prediction: SU Winner – Lakers, ATS Winner – Hawks, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Hawks rank fifth in three pointers attempted per game (34.8) while the Lakers rank 19th (30.3).
  • Los Angeles ranks third in fast break points per game (18.9) while Atlanta ranks last in fast break points allowed per game (17.8).
  • The Lakers average 56.3 points in the paint per game, which ranks second in the league. The Hawks rank 18th in points allowed in the paint per game (49.5).
  • Atlanta averages 8.4 steals per game, which ranks 11th in the NBA. Los Angeles ranks 26th in steals allowed per game (8.5).
  • Los Angeles ranks fourth in rebounds per game (47.1) while Atlanta ranks 19th (45.0).
  • The Hawks average 17.6 points off turnovers per game, which ranks 11th in the league. The Lakers rank 28th in points off turnovers allowed per game (18.6).
  • The Hawks average 14.0 second chance points per game, which ranks seventh in the NBA. The Lakers rank 22nd in second chance points allowed per game (14.2).
  • Los Angeles ranks 10th in blocks per game (5.5) while Atlanta ranks 23rd in blocks allowed per game (5.5).
  • Los Angeles averages 24.9 assists per game, which ranks 12th in the league. Atlanta ranks 29th in assists allowed per game (27.6).
  • In games where they allow less than 100 points, Atlanta is 3-2 and Los Angeles is 7-0.
  • The Hawks are 17-31 when they score above 100 points, while the Lakers are 27-22.
  • Los Angeles is 14-14 ATS on the road, while Atlanta is 7-17 ATS at home.
  • In 28 road games, the Lakers have 15 overs and 13 unders.
  • Of the Hawks’ 24 home games, they have 14 overs, 9 unders and 1 push.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Lakers are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Hawks are 2-3.
  • In their last five games, Los Angeles has 4 overs and 1 under, while Atlanta has 3 overs and 2 unders.
  • During their last five games, the Lakers have scored an average of 113.4 points per game (1.2 above their season average) and allowed an average of 128.4 points per game (15.0 above their season average).
  • The Hawks’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 5.8, down from 7.6 for the season.