The Los Angeles Dodgers are preparing to take the field against their NL West foe San Diego Padres in a Saturday night game. Spectrum SportsNet LA will broadcast the action. The game is scheduled to get underway at 8:40 p.m. ET.
Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres Odds
San Diego (+125) is entering into this matchup as an underdog against Los Angeles (-135) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this game at 7.5 runs (-120 for the over and +100 for the under). You can also bet on the game’s spread with the runline odds coming in at Dodgers -1.5 runs (+110) and Padres +1.5 runs (-130).
The Dodgers are 21-13 SU and have gone 13-20 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 2.6 units for moneyline bettors in this young season, despite having lost 5.8 units ATS. The Padres, on the other hand, are 18-15 SU and 14-18 ATS. The team’s gained 3.4 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 5.2 units ATS.
Padres games have an over/under record of 13-17-2 so far in 2019. Los Angeles has an over/under record of 17-16.
Rich Hill is getting the start for the visiting Dodgers. The southpaw Hill (0-0, 1.50 ERA) has recorded six strikeouts in six innings so far. This will be his first outing against San Diego this year. He made three starts against the team in 2018, posting a 2-1 record with a 2.25 ERA and 22 strikeouts.
The Padres are planning to start lefty Joey Lucchesi (3-2, 4.94 ERA), who has 34 punchouts and 10 walks to his credit, along with a WHIP of 1.45. Lucchesi made three starts against the team in 2018, posting a 0-3 record in 2018, putting together a 0-3 record with an 8.53 ERA.
San Diego’s pitchers have yielded 3.8 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.43, a WHIP of 1.14 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.4. The bullpen has a 3.75 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 10.2 K/9. In 17 divisional games, Padres starters have an ERA of 4.26 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.06.
The San Diego offense is putting up 3.7 runs per outing, including 3.5 per game against divisional foes and 4.0 per game over its last five. The team has hit .232/.275/.423 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
The Padres’ hitters have been led by first baseman Eric Hosmer and shortstop Fernando Tatis Jr.. Hosmer is slashing .268/.316/.447 with five home runs, 20 RBIs and 15 runs scored, and Tatis Jr.’s line is .300/.360/.550 with six homers, 13 RBIs, 14 runs and six steals.
For the visiting squad, Los Angeles’ pitchers have allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starters own a 3.44 ERA, 1.11 WHIP and 8.73 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.58, along with a WHIP of 1.11 and a K/9 of 9.00.
Dodgers hitters have slashed .255/.346/.457 on their way to 5.3 runs scored per game in 2019, including 7.2 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
Los Angeles’ offensive production has been sparked by first baseman Cody Bellinger and third baseman Justin Turner, who’ve collectively blasted 15 home runs. Bellinger is slashing .415/.489/.847 with 14 home runs, 38 RBIs, 32 runs and six stolen bases, while Turner is hitting .279/.379/.333 with one homers, 10 RBIs and 12 runs scored.
The Dodgers have lost 2.0 units and are 3-7 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in seven of those games, compared to three that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Padres have netted 1.9 units and are 4-2 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has cashed in two of those games, compared to four that’ve gone under.
Dodgers at Padres Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Dodgers, ATS Winner – Dodgers, O/U – UNDER
Betting Trends
- The under has cashed in four of Los Angeles’ last seven games.
- The Dodgers have a team OPS of .803 this season and an OPS of .744 when facing left-handed pitchers. The Padres’ OPS stands at .692 overall and .701 against southpaws.
- San Diego has posted 19.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 19.6 over its last five.
- The Dodgers have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.
