The Los Angeles Clippers (4-2), 5.5-point underdogs, will travel to Chesapeake Energy Arena to go head-to-head against the Oklahoma City Thunder (1-4). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 221.5 points and it can be seen on Fox SportsNet Oklahoma at 8 p.m. ET on Tuesday, October 30, 2018.
Los Angeles Clippers vs. Oklahoma City Thunder ATS Odds
In the Clippers’ last matchup, they easily got past the Washington Wizards, 136-104, easily covering as 3.5-point favorites. The Thunder, meanwhile, defeated the Phoenix Suns,117-110, but failed to cover as 14-point favorites. Both games went over their projected point totals. The Los Angeles game finished 11.5 points over the projected point total of 228.5, while the Oklahoma City game went 8 points over the projected point total of 219.
The Clippers, who came into the game averaging an effective field goal percentage of 0.511, had a fantastic mark of 0.621 and had an offensive rebounding percentage of 31.1 (above their season average of 20.9). Meanwhile, Oklahoma City’s 13.0 turnover percentage was their biggest strength over Phoenix, who had a mark of 18.4. The Thunder’s mark was worse than their season average of 12.1, while the Suns’ was above the 13.5 mark opponents have averaged against Oklahoma City this season. Oklahoma City rallied around Nerlens Noel, who had 20 points and 15 rebounds. Tobias Harris, meanwhile was a key piece for Los Angeles with 22 points and 11 rebounds.
Oklahoma City could dominate the offensive glass in this contest. Dating back to the 2017-18 season, the Thunder rank first in offensive rebounding percentage (27.3 percent), while Los Angeles ranks 29th in defensive rebounding percentage (76.0 percent).
Vegas is exceedingly accurate when setting the O/U total of Clippers games, with an even split between overs and unders. Los Angeles comes into the contest with records of 4-2 straight up (SU) and 4-2 against the spread (ATS).
Of the Thunder’s 5 games, 3 have finished under the total. Moreover, Oklahoma City is 1-4 SU and 1-4 ATS.
In their first matchup this year, Harris led the Clippers to a 108-92 victory. He recorded a double-double with 26 points and 11 rebounds. Los Angeles covered as a 3-point favorite and the two teams combined to score 200 points, which was under the projected point total of 214. Los Angeles did a great job of getting to and converting from the free throw line (27-36; 75.0 percent). Oklahoma City, meanwhile, had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (28.3 vs. 21.3).
Los Angeles Clippers vs. Oklahoma City Thunder Pick
NBA Pick: SU Winner – Thunder, ATS Winner – Clippers, O/U – Under
Betting Notes (2017-Present):
- The Clippers rank 20th in assists per game (22.3) while the Thunder rank 29th (21.0).
- Oklahoma City averages 9.1 steals per game, which ranks first in the NBA. Los Angeles ranks 28th in steals allowed per game (8.5).
- The Thunder average 18.9 points off turnovers per game, which ranks first in the NBA. The Clippers rank 22nd in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.3).
- Oklahoma City ranks ninth in blocks allowed per game (4.6) while Los Angeles ranks 29th (5.7).
- Oklahoma City averages 45.2 rebounds per game, which ranks fifth in the league. Los Angeles ranks 19th in rebounds allowed per game (43.8).
- The Thunder rank first in second chance points per game (15.2) while the Clippers rank 26th in second chance points allowed per game (13.4).
- The Clippers rank third in points in the paint per game (52.4) while the Thunder rank 19th (43.8).
- Oklahoma City ranks 11th in three pointers attempted per game (30.4) while Los Angeles ranks 18th in three pointers allowed per game (30.2).
- Oklahoma City averages 15.1 fast break points per game, which ranks fifth in the NBA. Los Angeles ranks last in fast break points allowed per game (15.3).
- Los Angeles is 14-2 when they allow less than 100 points, while Oklahoma City is 23-6.
- In games where they score above 100 points, the Thunder are 47-21 and the Clippers are 44-28.
