Los Angeles Clippers vs. Milwaukee Bucks ATS Prediction 03/28/19

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Expect a high-scoring game when the Los Angeles Clippers (45-30), 9-point underdogs, square off against the Milwaukee Bucks (56-19) at Fiserv Forum. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 232.5 points and it will air on Fox Sports Net Wisconsin at 8 p.m. ET on Thursday, March 28, 2019.

Los Angeles Clippers at Milwaukee Bucks ATS Odds

Both teams easily covered as favorites in their last game. The Bucks (2.5-point favorites) defeated the Houston Rockets 108-94, while the Clippers (3-point favorites) beat the Minnesota Timberwolves 122-111. The Milwaukee game finished 22 points under the projected point total of 224, while the Los Angeles game finished 4 points over the projected point total of 229.

Los Angeles’ effective field goal percentage was their largest advantage over Minnesota. The Clippers had a rate of 0.635 (above their season average of 0.524), while the Timberwolves posted a mark of 0.484. Meanwhile, Milwaukee played a nearly flawless game. They had a free throw rate of 0.106 (below their season average of 0.194) and an offensive rebounding percentage of 20.8 (below their season average of 20.9). For those same stats, Houston was 0.061 and 13.8, respectively. Giannis Antetokounmpo played a key role for Milwaukee with 19 points and 14 rebounds. Los Angeles received a boost from Danilo Gallinari, who contributed 25 points and 10 rebounds.

In their first matchup this season, Tobias Harris led the Clippers to a 128-126 win. He recorded a double-double with 20 points and 11 rebounds. Los Angeles covered as a 4-point underdog and the two teams combined for 254 points, which was well over the projected point total of 233.5. Los Angeles did a terrific job of getting and making free throws (22-27; 81.5 percent). Milwaukee, meanwhile, had a better offensive rebounding percentage (25.4 vs. 21.3).

Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when setting the O/U total of Clippers games, with 40 overs compared to 34 unders. Los Angeles holds records of 45-30 straight up (SU) and 43-32 against the spread (ATS).

In opposition of Los Angeles, games including the Bucks have a slight tendency to finish under the projected point total (53.3 percent). Further, Milwaukee owns records of 56-19 SU and 45-28-2 ATS.

Both teams have had a couple of players take their game to the next level over their last five games. Gallinari (25 points,6.2 rebounds) and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (15 points,6.6 assists,1.6 steals) have been stellar for the Clippers, while Khris Middleton (22 points,8.4 rebounds,5.0 assists) and Brook Lopez (17 points,6.2 rebounds,2.6 blocks,1.2 steals) have contributed greatly to the Bucks.

The productive offense of Milwaukee (third in the NBA with an offensive efficiency of 112.1) will battle against the mid-tier defense of Los Angeles (20th in the league with a defensive efficiency of 109.0). The Bucks figure to have the edge on that end of the court. Additionally, the Clippers are among the league’s elite at getting to the line, ranking first in free throw attempt (FTA) rate (0.259). The Bucks, however, rank first at keeping opponents off the charity stripe with an opponents’ FTA rate of 0.163.

Clippers vs. Bucks Odds Pick

NBA Tip: SU Winner – Bucks, ATS Winner – Bucks, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Clippers rank 13th in second chance points per game (13.4) while the Bucks rank 27th (11.8).
  • Milwaukee ranks second in blocks per game (6.0) while Los Angeles ranks 28th in blocks allowed per game (6.0).
  • The Bucks rank first in fast break points allowed per game (10.4) while the Clippers rank 23rd (14.6).
  • Milwaukee ranks third in steals allowed per game (6.9) while Los Angeles ranks 23rd (8.1).
  • Milwaukee averages 49.5 rebounds per game, which ranks first in the league. Los Angeles ranks 20th in rebounds allowed per game (45.7).
  • The Bucks rank second in three pointers attempted per game (38.0) while the Clippers rank 28th (25.6).
  • The Bucks rank second in points allowed in the paint per game (42.1) while the Clippers rank 22nd (50.9).
  • Milwaukee averages 26.0 assists per game, which ranks seventh in the NBA. Los Angeles ranks 11th in assists allowed per game (23.9).
  • Milwaukee ranks second in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.4) while Los Angeles ranks 24th (17.6).
  • When holding opponents below 100 points, Milwaukee is 20-1 and Los Angeles is 6-1.
  • The Bucks are 55-15 when they reach 100 points, while the Clippers are 45-21.
  • Los Angeles is 23-16 ATS on the road, while Milwaukee is 23-14 ATS at home.
  • The total has gone under in 19 of the Bucks’ 37 home games, while 22 of the Clippers’ 39 road games have gone under.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Bucks are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Clippers are 3-2.
  • In their last five games, Milwaukee has 4 unders and 1 over, while Los Angeles has 4 overs and 1 under.
  • During their last five games, the Bucks have scored an average of 113.6 points per game (3.8 below their season average) and allowed an average of 98.8 points per game (9.1 below their season average).
  • The Clippers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 6.6, up from 1.3 for the season.