The Los Angeles Clippers (34-29), 2.5-point underdogs, will be at the Golden 1 Center to take on the Sacramento Kings (31-30) in a Pacific Division matchup. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 240 points and it can be seen on NBC Sports – California at 10 p.m. ET on Friday, March 1, 2019.
Los Angeles Clippers at Sacramento Kings Betting Odds
Despite losing, both teams were able to cover in their last game. The Clippers (10-point underdogs) were defeated by the Utah Jazz, 111-105, while the Kings (6-point underdogs) fell to the Milwaukee Bucks, 141-140. The Los Angeles game finished 11 points under the projected point total of 227, while the Sacramento game finished 41 points over the projected point total of 240.
Los Angeles had a better turnover percentage (8.5 vs. 13.1) while Sacramento had a turnover percentage of 5.7 (better than their season average of 11.7). Bogdan Bogdanovic had a good outing for Sacramento with 28 points, eight rebounds and eight assists. Los Angeles received a boost from Patrick Beverley, who finished with 12 points and 10 rebounds.
In their three matchups this year, the Clippers have won all three. In their most recent game, the two teams combined to score 230 points, just under the projected point total of 230.5. Los Angeles won 122-108, covering as a 3-point favorite. Los Angeles’ 0.540 effective field goal percentage was its biggest advantage over Sacramento, who had a rate of 0.441. Beverley recorded a double-double with 16 points and 10 rebounds.
Of the Clippers’ 63 games, 33 have finished over the O/U total. Los Angeles comes into the game with records of 34-29 straight up (SU) and 35-28 against the spread (ATS).
Games including the Kings also have a slight tendency to finish over the O/U total (52.5 percent). Moreover, Sacramento owns records of 31-30 SU and 37-24 ATS.
The Clippers’ Lou Williams has been playing well over his last five games, averaging 28 points,6.8 assists per game. Meanwhile, Buddy Hield has averaged 23 points,6.2 rebounds,1.2 steals during that same time frame for the Kings.
Los Angeles might have a tough time creating turnovers. Sacramento ranks seventh in the NBA at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 12.8 percent), while Los Angeles forces the second-fewest turnovers (12.1 percent). Also, the Clippers rank first in free throw attempt (FTA) rate (0.262), while the Kings rank 23rd in opponents’ FTA rate (0.211).
Clippers at Kings ATS Pick
NBA Pick: SU Winner – Kings, ATS Winner – Kings, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Kings rank 20th in blocks allowed per game (5.4) while the Clippers rank 28th (6.1).
- Sacramento ranks second in points off turnovers per game (20.2) while Los Angeles ranks 27th (15.0).
- The Kings rank first in fast break points per game (21.6) while the Clippers rank 20th in fast break points allowed per game (14.7).
- Sacramento ranks ninth in steals per game (8.5) while Los Angeles ranks 25th (6.7).
- Los Angeles averages 13.2 second chance points per game, which ranks 20th in the league. Sacramento ranks 29th in second chance points allowed per game (14.8).
- The Clippers rank eighth in three pointers allowed per game (29.7) while the Kings rank 29th (34.6).
- The Clippers average 45.0 rebounds per game, which ranks 17th in the league. The Kings rank last in rebounds allowed per game (48.6).
- Sacramento ranks ninth in assists per game (25.6) while Los Angeles ranks 11th in assists allowed per game (24.0).
- Los Angeles averages 50.7 points in the paint per game, which ranks eighth in the NBA. Sacramento ranks 27th in points allowed in the paint per game (51.8).
- In games where they hold opponents below 100 points, Sacramento is 9-0 and Los Angeles is 6-1.
- The Clippers are 34-20 when they reach the century mark, while the Kings are 29-26.
- Sacramento is 22-9 ATS at home, while Los Angeles is 19-15 ATS on the road.
- Of the Clippers’ 34 road games, they have 19 unders and 15 overs.
- In 31 home games, the Kings have 17 unders and 14 overs.
Bettings Trends:
- In their last five games, Los Angeles and Sacramento are both 4-1 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
- The Clippers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 1.8, up from 0.1 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Kings have scored an average of 121.0 points per game (7.0 above their season average) and allowed an average of 122.8 points per game (7.6 above their season average).
