The Los Angeles Clippers (25-22) will travel to AmericanAirlines Arena to meet the Miami Heat (22-23). Action gets underway at 7:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday, January 23, 2019, and can be seen on Fox Sports – Seattle.
Los Angeles Clippers at Miami Heat Betting Odds
Despite losing, both teams were able to cover in their last contest. The Clippers (9.5-point underdogs) were defeated by the Dallas Mavericks, 106-98, while the Heat (9.5-point underdogs) fell to the Boston Celtics, 107-99. The Los Angeles game went 16.5 points under the projected point total of 220.5, while the Miami game finished 6.5 points under the projected point total of 212.5.
Los Angeles had a turnover percentage of 6.3 (better than their season average of 12.4) while Miami did a great job of converting from the charity stripe (16-18; 88.9 percent). Derrick Jones Jr. played a key role for Miami with 18 points and nine rebounds. Meanwhile, Los Angeles received a boost from Patrick Beverley, who put up 16 points and nine rebounds.
In their first matchup this year, Justise Winslow led the Heat to a 121-98 victory. He put up 21 points, nine assists and six rebounds. Miami covered as a 10-point underdog and the two teams combined for 219 points, hitting the projected point total. The Heat’s 9.2 turnover percentage was their biggest advantage over the Clippers, who had a rate of 13.5.
Of the Clippers’ 46 games with betting action, 25 have finished over the total. Los Angeles heads into the contest with records of 25-22 straight up (SU) and 25-21 against the spread (ATS).
Of the Heat’s 45 games, 24 have finished over the total. Moreover, Miami is 22-23 SU and 24-20-1 ATS.
The offensive glass should be a major advantage for Miami in this matchup. The Heat currently rank third in offensive rebounding percentage (25.5 percent), while Los Angeles ranks 24th in defensive rebounding percentage (75.6 percent).
Clippers at Heat Free Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Heat, ATS Winner – Heat, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- The Heat rank third in assists allowed per game (22.3) while the Clippers rank 15th (24.2).
- Miami averages 6.0 blocks per game, which ranks third in the NBA. Los Angeles ranks 28th in blocks allowed per game (6.2).
- The Heat rank fourth in second chance points per game (14.9) while the Clippers rank 24th in second chance points allowed per game (14.3).
- Miami ranks sixth in fast break points allowed per game (12.0) while Los Angeles ranks 26th (15.0).
- Miami ranks 17th in steals per game (7.6) while Los Angeles ranks 29th (6.3).
- The Heat rank third in points allowed in the paint per game (42.8) while the Clippers rank 24th (51.0).
- The Heat rank seventh in rebounds per game (46.7) while the Clippers rank 23rd in rebounds allowed per game (46.0).
- Miami ranks 20th in points off turnovers per game (15.9) while Los Angeles ranks 28th (14.6).
- Miami ranks ninth in three pointers attempted per game (33.2) while Los Angeles ranks 29th (24.9).
- In games where they hold opponents below 100 points, Los Angeles is 5-1 and Miami is 13-2.
- The Heat are 20-13 when they reach 100 points, while the Clippers are 25-15.
- Miami is 10-12-1 ATS at home, while Los Angeles is 12-10 ATS on the road.
- The total has gone over in 13 of the Heat’s 23 home games, while 11 of the Clippers’ 22 road games have gone over.
Bettings Trends:
- The Heat are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Clippers are 1-4.
- In their last five games, Miami has 3 unders and 2 overs, while Los Angeles has 4 unders and 1 over.
- The Heat have been outscored by an average of 6.6 points in their last five games. On the season, Miami has defeated opponents by an average of 0.1 points.
- During their last five games, the Clippers have scored an average of 104.2 points per game (9.9 below their season average) and allowed an average of 112.6 points per game (1.4 below their season average).
