It will be a showdown between two sensational offenses when the Golden State Warriors (22-11), 10-point favorites, challenge the Los Angeles Clippers (19-13) at ORACLE Arena. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 233 points and it will air on NBC Sports – Bay Area at 8:30 p.m. ET on Sunday, December 23, 2018.
Los Angeles Clippers at Golden State Warriors ATS Odds
Both teams covered in their last game. The Warriors (2-point underdogs) defeated the Dallas Mavericks 120-116, while the Clippers (3-point favorite) beat the Denver Nuggets 132-111. Both games finished over their projected point totals. The Golden State game went 13.5 points over the projected point total of 222.5, while the Los Angeles game finished 20 points over the projected point total of 223.
The Clippers had an extraordinary offensive rebounding percentage of 35.1 (above their season average of 22.3) and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.630 (above their season average of 0.524). Meanwhile, Golden State played a nearly perfect game. They had a superb offensive rebounding percentage of 30.0 (above their season average of 22.8) and a turnover percentage of 11.0 (better than their season average of 13.0). Dallas was 22.0 and 11.1, respectively, for those same stats. Golden State was lifted by Kevin Durant, who recorded 29 points, 12 rebounds and eight assists. Montrezl Harrell, meanwhile had a solid performance for Los Angeles, finishing with 20 points and 10 rebounds.
In their first matchup this year, Harrell led the Clippers to a 121-116 win. He produced 23 points and 8 rebounds. Los Angeles covered as a 4-point underdog and the two teams combined for 237 points, which was over the projected point total of 225.5. Los Angeles did a great job of getting to and converting from the free throw line (30-34; 88.2 percent). Golden State, on the other hand, had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (20.4 vs. 14.6).
Of the Clippers’ 31 games with betting action, 19 have gone over the total. Los Angeles heads into the contest with records of 19-13 straight up (SU) and 17-14 against the spread (ATS).
Vegas is exceedingly precise when setting the total of Warriors games, with an even split between overs and unders. Golden State is 22-11 SU, but they struggle covering the spread (14-18 ATS).
Golden State could dominate on the offensive side of the ball as their productive offense faces off against one of the worst defenses in the NBA. The Warriors currently rank first in offensive efficiency, while Los Angeles ranks 23rd in defensive efficiency.
Los Angeles Clippers vs. Golden State Warriors Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – Warriors, ATS Winner – Warriors, O/U – Under
Betting Notes:
- The Warriors rank 20 in steals per game (7.212121212121212) while the Clippers rank 28 (5.90625).
- Golden State ranks first in blocks allowed per game (3.7) while Los Angeles ranks 24th (5.9).
- The Warriors average 17.1 fast break points per game, which ranks fifth in the league. The Clippers rank 27th in fast break points allowed per game (15.3).
- Golden State ranks first in assists per game (27.8) while Los Angeles ranks 22nd (22.6).
- Golden State ranks 10 in rebounds per game (46) while Los Angeles ranks 19 in rebounds allowed per game (45.46875).
- The Clippers rank fourth in three pointers allowed per game (28.7) while the Warriors rank 26th (33.9).
- The Warriors rank 15 in points off turnovers per game (16.727272727272727) while the Clippers rank 26 (14.46875).
- Los Angeles ranks 17 in second chance points per game (13.03125) while Golden State ranks 25 (11.93939393939394).
- Los Angeles ranks eighth in points in the paint per game (51.3) while Golden State ranks last (39.7).
- Los Angeles is 3-1 when they hold opponents under 100 points, while Golden State is 4-0.
- When scoring more than 100 points, the Warriors are 22-6 and the Clippers are 19-8.
- Los Angeles is 8-9 ATS on the road, while Golden State is 8-8 ATS at home.
- The total has gone under in 10 of the Warriors’ 16 home games, while 10 of the Clippers’ 17 road games have gone over.
Bettings Trends:
- The Clippers are 2-3 ATS over their last five games, while the Warriors are 1-4.
- In their last five games, Los Angeles has 3 overs and 2 unders, while Golden State has 4 unders and 1 over.
- The Clippers have been outscored by an average of 4.6 points in their last five games. On the season, Los Angeles has defeated opponents by an average of 1.1 points.
- During their last five games, the Warriors have scored an average of 111.2 points per game (4.4 below their season average) and allowed an average of 111.0 points per game (0.4 above their season average).
