Los Angeles Chargers at Jacksonville Jaguars – Week 14 Free Pick

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The Los Angeles Chargers (-3) are making a trip across the country to take the field against the Jacksonville Jaguars at EverBank Field. FOX will televise the action and this late afternoon game is scheduled to get underway at 4:05 p.m. ET.

Week 14 Betting Preview: Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Los Angeles Chargers

Jacksonville is a live dog here and is currently getting 3 points. The Chargers are also receiving -150 moneyline odds while the Jaguars are +130. Some solid live betting opportunities should exist during this game, and oddsmakers have placed the over/under (O/U) at 43 points.

The line initially opened at 1 and the over/under was originally 44.5, so the early action has swayed toward both the Chargers and the under.

The Chargers have lost 6.8 units so far and are 4-7-1 against the spread (ATS). They’ve been a good under bet and have posted an O/U record of 4-8.

The Jaguars have lost 4.3 units this season. The team is 5-7 ATS and owns an O/U record of 6-5-1.

The Chargers are 4-8 straight up (SU) in 2019 while the Jaguars are also 4-8 SU.

The Chargers lost to Denver 23-20 in a Week 13 matchup where Philip Rivers completed 20 passes for 265 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. Melvin Gordon III (99 yards on 20 rushes) led the running attack in the loss while Keenan Allen (six receptions, 68 yards, one TD) and Mike Williams (five catches, 117 yards) manned the receiving duties.

Jacksonville most-recently fell 28-11 to Tampa Bay last week. The defensive secondary allowed the Buccaneers to air it out for 268 yards. Breshad Perriman had a productive showing in the win for Tampa Bay, recording 87 yards on five catches. As a group, the Jags collectively completed 23-of-41 passes for 240 yards, one touchdown and two interceptions. Gardner Minshew II went 16-for-27 for 147 yards, one touchdown and one interception while Nick Foles was seven-of-14 for 93 yards and one interception. Leonard Fournette (38 yards on 14 rush attempts) led the ground game in the defeat while Fournette (nine receptions, 53 yards) and Dede Westbrook (five catches, 60 yards, one TD) led the pass-catching attack.

When analyzing offensive play-calling, each team sports a similar run-pass ratio on the season. Los Angeles has run the ball on 38.2 percent of its offensive possessions while Jacksonville has a rush percentage of 39.6. The Chargers have run for 89.1 yards per game and have seven touchdowns via handoffs this year. The Jags are averaging 113.4 rushing yards per game and have three total rush TDs.

The Bolts offense has averaged 286.8 yards in the air overall and has 17 passing TDs so far. The Jags have put up 264 pass yards per contest and also have 17 total pass scores.

Los Angeles seems to have an edge in both areas of the defense. The team has let opponents rush for an average of 109.9 yards and pass for 212.6 yards per game. The Jacksonville defense has allowed 244.6 yards per game to opposing passers and 136.6 yards per game on the ground. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to opponents, as the Bolts have given up an ANY/A of 6.27 to opposing QBs, while the Jags are yielding an ANY/A of 6.27.

Offensively, Rivers is up to 3,081 passing yards on the year. He’s connected on 66 percent of his 393 attempts with 16 passing scores and 11 interceptions. Rivers has a 6.63 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 4.93 over the past two games.

Nick Foles has completed 45-of-69 passes for 464 yards, three TDs and two INTs for Jacksonville. His ANY/A sits at 5.32 for the season and 4.07 over his last two games.

Los Angeles Chargers vs. Jacksonville Jaguars Free NFL Tip

SU Winner: Jaguars, ATS Winner: Jaguars, O/U: Under

Team Betting Trends

  • The Jacksonville defense has recorded 38 sacks on the year while Los Angeles has just 25.
  • The Jacksonville offense has lost 11 fumbles this season while Los Angeles has lost seven.
  • The Chargers offense has tallied nine pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Jaguars have accounted for three such plays.
  • The Los Angeles defense has allowed two pass plays of 40 yards or more, while Jacksonville has given up eight such plays.
  • The Los Angeles offense has created four rushing plays of 20+ yards, while Jacksonville has created eight such runs.
  • The Chargers defense has allowed eight rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Jaguars have given up 10 such runs.
  • The O/U for Jacksonville’s last matchup was 46.5. The under cashed in the 28-11 loss to Tampa Bay.
  • Over its last three games, Jacksonville is 0-3 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
  • Over its last three games, Los Angeles is 0-3 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
  • The O/U for Los Angeles’ last game going into it was 38.5. The over cashed in the team’s 23-20 loss to Denver.
  • Los Angeles has averaged 4.5 yards per rush attempt over its past three outings and 4.3 over its last two.
  • Jacksonville has averaged 3.7 yards per carry over its last three contests and 3.8 over its past two.