Kansas City Royals vs. Seattle Mariners Free Preview

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The streaking Seattle Mariners are gunning for their seventh consecutive win as they play host to the Kansas City Royals at Safeco Field. This AL matchup will get underway at 4:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Kansas City will broadcast the game.

Kansas City Royals at Seattle Mariners Odds

Kansas City (+225) is the underdog to Seattle (-250) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this game at 8 runs (+105 for the over and -125 for the under). The games runline odds sit at +100 for picking the Royals +1.5 runs and -120 for the Mariners -1.5.

The Royals have gone 25-57 SU this year and are 37-44 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 20.7 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 14.8 units ATS. Kansas City’s covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven. The Mariners, on the other hand, are 53-31 SU and 43-40 ATS. They’ve gained 19.1 units for moneyline bettors and 0.6 units ATS. Seattle has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in six of those seven.

Seattle games have an over/under record of 41-41-1 so far in 2018. Royals games have gone under 47 times, gone over 30 times and pushed on four occasions.

Brad Keller will get the start for the Royals. The right-handed Keller is 2-2 with a 2.25 ERA and 30 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA against Seattle this year.

The Mariners will turn to lefty James Paxton (7-2, 3.65 ERA), who has 134 strikeouts and 30 walks to his name as well as a 1.11 WHIP. Paxton is 0-0 with 10 strikeouts and a 3.00 ERA in one start against Kansas City this year.

Seattle’s pitchers have allowed 4.2 runs per game overall this season as a unit. The clubs starters have a 4.04 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 7.9 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.84 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 9.8 K/9.

Seattle’s offense is putting up 4.4 runs per contest, including 5.0 per game over its last 10 games and 5.0 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .293/.337/.462 over its last five games and is 5-0 SU during that stretch.

The Mariners batters have been led by shortstop Jean Segura and right fielder Dee Gordon. Segura is slashing .336/.364/.477 with six home runs, 45 RBIs, 59 runs and 14 stolen bases, while Gordon is batting .281 with 87 hits, 20 RBIs, 38 runs and 21 steals.

In the visiting dugout, Kansas City’s pitching staff allowed 5.4 runs per game and its starters own a 5.15 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 7.44 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.30, along with a K-per-9 of 6.95.

The Royals offense has slashed .238/.302/.364 on its way to 3.5 runs scored per game in 2018, including 2.3 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 2.6 per game over the teams last five contests (2-3 SU).

Kansas City’s offensive production has been fueled by second baseman Whit Merrifield and third baseman Mike Moustakas, who collectively have launched 20 home runs. The speedy Merrifield is slashing .289/.362/.405 with four home runs, 24 RBIs, 32 runs and 16 stolen bases, while Moustakas (.261/.317/.477) is up to 16 homers, 53 RBIs and 37 runs scored.

The Royals have gained 4.8 units and are 17-11 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in 10 of those games, compared to 18 that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Mariners have netted 19.8 units and are 29-27 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 30 of those games, compared to 26 that’ve cashed the under.

Kansas City Royals vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Mariners, ATS Winner – Royals, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The over has cashed in just two of Kansas City’s last seven contests.
  • The Royals have hit six home runs in their last 10 games. The Mariners have hit 12 over their last 10.
  • Seattle has posted 25.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 26.6 over its last five.
  • The Royals have dropped three of their last four games SU.