The Milwaukee Brewers are playing host to the Kansas City Royals at Miller Park. This interleague matchup starts at 2:10 p.m. ET and fans can catch it on FB.
Kansas City Royals vs. Milwaukee Brewers Odds
Kansas City (+170) is the underdog against Milwaukee (-180) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this one at 8.5 runs. Odds for wagering on the games total sit at +100 for the over and -120 for the under. The games current runline odds stand at -130 for picking the Royals +1.5 runs and +110 for the Brewers -1.5.
The Brewers are 46-32 straight up (SU) and 43-34 against the spread (ATS). The team’s gained 13.0 units for moneyline bettors and 8.5 units (ATS). Milwaukee has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Royals are 24-55 SU and have gone 36-42 ATS. In total, the teams lost 20.6 units for moneyline bettors and 13.6 units ATS. Kansas City has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in six of those seven.
Brewers games have a 30-45-2 over/under record so far in 2018. Kansas City has also been a great under bet with a total record of 29-45-4.
The left-handed Danny Duffy is the probable starter for Kansas City. Duffy is 3-7 with a 5.18 ERA and 76 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Brewers this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Brewers are putting the ball in the left hand of Brent Suter (8-4, 4.15 ERA), who’s got 67 strikeouts and 17 walks as well as a 1.15 WHIP. Suter did not record a start against the Royals in 2017.
As a unit, Milwaukee’s pitchers have allowed 3.6 runs per game overall this season. The teams starting pitching staff has a 3.91 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 7.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has posted a solid ERA of just 2.74, a WHIP of 1.19 and a K/9 of 10.7.
Milwaukee’s offense has produced 4.3 runs per outing, including 4.8 per game over its last 10 games and 4.4 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .224/.306/.416 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that span.
Outfielders Lorenzo Cain and Christian Yelich have led the Brewers offense this year. Cain is hitting .291/.394/.438 with eight home runs, 26 RBIs, 48 runs and 16 stolen bases, and Yelich is hitting .291 with 11 homers, 34 RBIs, 52 runs and 10 stolen bases.
In the other dugout, Kansas City’s pitchers have allowed 5.5 runs per game and its starters own a 5.14 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 7.42 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.32, along with a WHIP of 1.44.
The Royals offense has slashed .238/.302/.366 on its way to 3.5 runs scored per game in 2018, including 2.2 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 2.0 per game over the teams last five contests (2-3 SU).
Second baseman Whit Merrifield and third baseman Mike Moustakas have led Kansas City’s hitters. The speedy Merrifield is slashing .279/.356/.400 with four home runs, 23 RBIs, 31 runs and 16 stolen bases, while Moustakas (.252/.308/.456) is up to 14 homers, 48 RBIs and 35 runs scored.
The Royals have gained 3.9 units and are 16-10 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in nine of those games, compared to 17 that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Brewers have lost 0.7 units and are 6-10 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The overs cashed in eight of those games, compared to eight that went under the total.
Kansas City Royals vs. Milwaukee Brewers Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Royals, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The over has cashed in just one of Kansas City’s last seven games.
- The Royals have hit five home runs in their last 10 games, including three over their last five.
- Kansas City has recorded 14.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 14.4 over its last five.
