The Kansas City Royals will be taking on the Seattle Mariners at Safeco Field. Fox Sports Kansas City will broadcast this AL matchup. The game is scheduled to get underway at 10:10 p.m. ET.
Kansas City Royals vs. Seattle Mariners Odds
Seattle (-205) is favored over Kansas City (+187) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this night game at 8 runs. The odds for betting on the games total sit at +100 for the over and -120 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds sitting at -115 for the Royals +1.5 runs and -105 for the Mariners -1.5.
The Mariners are 52-31 straight up (SU) and 42-40 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 18.1 units for moneyline bettors while earning 0.4 units (ATS). Seattle has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the under has cashed in five of those seven. The Royals are 25-56 SU and have gone 37-43 ATS. Overall, the teams lost 19.7 units for moneyline bettors and 13.7 units ATS. Kansas City’s covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.
Seattle games have a 41-40-1 over/under record so far in 2018. Kansas City has been a strong under bet with a total record of 30-46-4.
The right-handed Jason Hammel is the projected starter for the visiting Royals. Hammel is 2-9 with a 5.34 ERA and 62 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Mariners this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-1, 4.26 ERA and three strikeouts over 6.1 innings).
The Mariners are planning to start righty Felix Hernandez (7-6, 5.10 ERA), who’s got 80 strikeouts and 35 walks, as well as a WHIP of 1.35. Hernandez is 1-0 with three strikeouts and a 4.76 ERA in one start against Kansas City this year.
Seattle’s pitching staff has given up 4.2 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. Its starters have a 4.03 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 7.9 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.90 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 9.9 K/9.
Seattle’s hitters are putting up 4.4 runs per outing, including 4.9 per game over its last 10 games and 4.8 per game over their last five. The teams hit .261/.342/.411 over its last five matchups and is 5-0 SU during that stretch.
The Mariners batters have been led by shortstop Jean Segura and right fielder Dee Gordon. Segura is hitting .338/.366/.479 with six home runs, 45 RBIs, 58 runs and 14 stolen bases, and Gordon’s line is .285/.307/.351 with 87 hits, 20 RBIs, 38 runs and 21 stolen bases.
For the visitors, Kansas City’s pitching staff allowed 5.4 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.10 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 7.46 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 5.34, along with a WHIP of 1.43 and a K/9 of 6.94.
Royals hitters have slashed .238/.302/.364 on their way to 3.5 runs scored per game in 2018, including 2.2 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 2.4 per game over the teams last five outings (2-3 SU).
Second baseman Whit Merrifield and third baseman Mike Moustakas continue to lead Kansas City’s offense. The speedy Merrifield is hitting .284/.358/.401 with four home runs, 24 RBIs, 31 runs and 16 stolen bases. Moustakas (.258/.313/.467) is up to 15 homers, 50 RBIs and 36 runs scored.
The Royals have lost 25.5 units and are 20-33 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 20 of those games, compared to 29 that’ve gone under against righties. On the other hand, the Mariners have netted 18.8 units and are 28-27 ATS when facing a righty starter. The overs cashed in 30 of those games, compared to 25 that’ve gone under.
Kansas City Royals vs. Seattle Mariners Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Mariners, ATS Winner – Royals, O/U – OVER
Betting Trends
- The over has hit in only two of Seattle’s last seven games.
- Seattle has posted 24.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 23.6 over its last five.
- The Royals have hit five home runs in their last 10 games, including three over their last five.
