The Kansas City Royals are heading north to play the Milwaukee Brewers at Miller Park. This interleague matchup will begin at 8:10 p.m. ET and fans looking to watch it can tune in to Fox Sports Kansas City.
Kansas City Royals vs. Milwaukee Brewers Odds
Oddsmakers have listed Kansas City (+187) as the underdog to Milwaukee (-205). Gamblers can bet on the games total with odds listed at even money (+100) for over 8.5 runs and -120 for under 8.5. Bettors can also wager on the games spread with the most recent runline odds standing at Royals +1.5 runs (-115) and Brewers -1.5 runs (-105).
The Royals are just 24-54 SU and have gone 35-42 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 22.3 units for moneyline gamblers and 14.7 units ATS. Kansas City is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven. The Brewers, on the other hand, are 45-32 SU and 43-34 ATS. They’ve gained 13.0 units for moneyline bettors and 8.5 units ATS. Milwaukee has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.
Brewers games have an over/under record of 30-45-2 thus far in 2018. The Royals have also been a good under bet with a total record of 29-44-4.
Right-hander Jakob Junis will get the start for Kansas City. Junis is 5-8 with a 4.43 ERA and 83 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Brewers this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Brewers will send Freddy Peralta (2-0, 2.30 ERA) to the mound. Peralta has 25 strikeouts and eight walks to his credit, as well as a WHIP of 0.89. Peralta did not record any MLB pitching stats last season.
Kansas City’s pitchers have allowed 5.5 runs per game and its starters own a 5.10 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 7.36 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.39, along with a WHIP of 1.43.
The Royals offense has slashed .239/.304/.367 on its way to 3.6 runs scored per game in 2018, including 2.4 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 2.2 per game over the teams last five outings (2-3 SU).
Second baseman Whit Merrifield and third baseman Mike Moustakas continue to lead Kansas City’s offense. The speedy Merrifield is slashing .283/.360/.406 with four home runs, 23 RBIs, 31 runs and 16 stolen bases, while Moustakas (.255/.312/.463) has produced 14 homers, 48 RBIs and 35 runs scored.
For the home team, Milwaukee’s pitching staff has allowed 3.7 runs per game overall this year. The teams starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.98, a WHIP of 1.24 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.6. The bullpen has posted a solid ERA of just 2.73, a WHIP of 1.19 and a K/9 of 10.7.
Milwaukee’s offense is putting up 4.3 runs per outing, including 4.4 per game over its last 10 games and 4.0 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .221/.291/.374 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
The Brewers offense has been led by outfielders Lorenzo Cain and Christian Yelich. Cain is slashing .291/.394/.438 with eight home runs, 26 RBIs, 48 runs and 16 stolen bases, while Yelich’s line is .287/.365/.461 with 10 homers, 32 RBIs, 51 runs and nine stolen bases.
The Brewers have gained 13.7 units and are 37-24 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 22 of those games, compared to 37 that’ve hit the under against righty starters.
Kansas City Royals vs. Milwaukee Brewers Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Royals, O/U – OVER
- The over has hit in just two of Kansas City’s last seven outings.
- The Kansas City defense has allowed nine errors over the last 10 games, compared to two errors for Milwaukee over its last 10.
- The Royals have hit four home runs in their last 10 games, including three over their last five.