Kansas City Royals at Minnesota Twins Free Pick

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The Minnesota Twins are playing host to their division rival Kansas City Royals at Target Field. The game gets underway 7:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Kansas City will be televising the matchup.

Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins Odds

Minnesota (receiving -230 odds) is the enormous favorite against Kansas City and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this night game at 9.5 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total currently stand at -115 for the over and -105 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds sitting at Royals +1.5 runs (-105) and Twins -1.5 runs (-115).

The Royals are 22-47 SU and have gone 31-37 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 17.6 units for moneyline gamblers and 14.9 units ATS. Kansas City’s covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Twins, on the other hand, are 46-22 SU and 40-27 ATS. The team has gained 20.8 units for moneyline bettors and 10.4 units ATS. Minnesota has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has hit in six of those seven.

Twins games have had an over/under record of 36-27-4 so far in 2019. The Royals have an over/under record of 32-31-5.

Glenn Sparkman will get the start for Kansas City. The right-handed Sparkman is 1-2 with a 3.58 ERA and 21 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Twins this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.

The Twins are going with righty Jake Odorizzi (9-2, 1.92 ERA), who has 78 strikeouts and 22 walks, along with a WHIP of 0.97. Odorizzi made two starts against the team in 2018, putting together a 0-0 record in 2018, putting together a 0-0 record with a 2.89 ERA and 10 strikeouts.

As a unit, Minnesota’s pitchers have allowed 4.3 runs per game overall this season. Its starting pitching staff has a 3.50 ERA, 1.15 WHIP and 8.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.81 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and 9.7 K/9. In 21 divisional games, Twins starters have an ERA of 3.00 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.25.

The Minnesota offense is putting up 6.0 runs per contest, including 5.6 per game against divisional foes and 7.2 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .304/.373/.564 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that span.

Shortstop Jorge Polanco and outfielder Eddie Rosario have led the Twins’ offense this year. Polanco is hitting .335/.395/.563 with 10 home runs, 36 RBIs and 45 runs scored, and Rosario is hitting .263 with 19 homers, 52 RBIs and 46 runs.

For the visiting squad, Kansas City’s pitchers have allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.16 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 7.32 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.92, along with a WHIP of 1.42.

The Royals offense has slashed .242/.310/.402 on its way to 4.1 runs scored per game this year, including 4.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 2.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Second baseman Whit Merrifield and shortstop Adalberto Mondesi continue to lead Kansas City’s hitters. Merrifield is hitting .294/.343/.479 with seven home runs, 31 RBIs, 46 runs and 10 stolen bases, while Mondesi is hitting .277/.310/.460 with six homers, 44 RBIs, 38 runs and 26 stolen bases.

The Royals have lost 13.4 units and are 22-27 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 25 of those games, compared to 21 that’ve gone under against righties. On the other hand, the Twins have netted 18.6 units and are 30-22 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 27 of those games, compared to 23 that’ve cashed the under.

Royals at Twins MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Twins, ATS Winner – Royals, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The under has hit in four of Kansas City’s last seven games.
  • The Royals have hit seven home runs in their last 10 games. The Twins have hit 24 over their last 10.
  • The Royals have an OPS of .711 this season and an OPS of .728 against right-handed pitchers. The Twins’ OPS stands at .858 overall and .849 versus righties.
  • Kansas City has posted 17.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 16.8 over its last five.
  • The Twins have won four of their last five games SU.