Kansas City Chiefs vs. Tennessee Titans: Week 10 Free Pick

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The Kansas City Chiefs (-3) are set to face off against the Tennessee Titans at Nissan Stadium. Kickoff for this matchup is pegged for 1:00 p.m. ET and CBS is scheduled to broadcast the action.

Betting Preview: Kansas City Chiefs vs. Tennessee Titans

In this Sunday AFC game, Kansas City is tabbed as the favorite and is currently giving up 3 points. The Chiefs are also receiving -150 moneyline odds while the Titans are +130. Vegas has placed the over/under (O/U) at 48.5 points. If the underdog strikes in the early stages, it will likely create a decent in-game betting scenario.

The Chiefs are 5-4 against the spread (ATS) and have lost 0.8 units so far in 2019. The team’s posted an Over-Under record of 6-3.

The Titans have lost 1.4 units this season. The team is 3-5-1 ATS and has an O/U record of 4-5.

The Chiefs have gone 6-3 straight up (SU) in 2019 while the Titans are 4-5 SU.

The Chiefs enter after a 26-23 win over Minnesota last week where their D allowed the Vikings to pass for 220 yards and rush for 96 yards. Dalvin Cook had a productive day for the Vikings in that one with 71 rushing yards on 21 attempts, along with 45 yards on four catches. On the offensive side of the ball, Matt Moore completed 25-of-35 passes for 275 yards and one touchdown. Damien Williams (125 rushing yards on 12 attempts, one TD) provided the ground attack while Travis Kelce (seven receptions, 62 yards) and Sammy Watkins (seven catches, 63 yards) handled the receiving duties in the win.

Tennessee just fell 30-20 to Carolina in Week 9. The team’s defensive unit allowed the Panthers to kill the clock by rushing for 156 yards on 33 attempts, including two rush TDs. Christian McCaffrey was outstanding, putting up 146 rushing yards and two touchdowns on 24 attempts for the Panthers. For Tennessee, Ryan Tannehill completed 27-of-39 passes for 331 yards, one touchdown and two interceptions. Derrick Henry (63 rushing yards on 13 attempts, one TD) mounted the running game as Lewis (five receptions, 33 yards) and A.J. Brown (four catches, 81 yards) led the receiving attack in the loss.

Kansas City has run the ball on 36.2 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Tennessee has an overall rush percentage of 45.5 percent. The Chiefs have produced 90.1 rush yards per game and have seven scores on the ground this year. The Titans are totaling 100.8 rushing yards per game and have seven total rush TDs.

It appears that the Chiefs could have the edge when it comes to quarterback protection, since their offensive line has yielded only 26 sacks while the D-line registered 52 sacks. The Titans, on the other hand, have given up 47 sacks and their defense has created only 39 sacks.

The Chiefs offensive scheme has averaged 315.4 yards through the air overall and has 19 passing TDs so far. The Titans have recorded 241.1 pass yards per outing and have 13 total pass scores.

On the defensive side of the ball, Kansas City has allowed 139.6 rush yards and 252.8 pass yards per game. The Tennessee D has given up 254.4 yards per game to opposing passers and 103.1 yards per game to opposing runners. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to opponents, as the Chiefs have given up an ANY/A of 5.94 to opposing QBs, while the Titans are yielding an ANY/A of 5.77.

Offensively, Moore has amassed 392 passing yards this season, and has connected on 64 percent of his 55 attempts with two passing scores and has yet to throw an interception. Moore has a 6.31 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 6.91 over the last two games.

Ryan Tannehill has connected on 63-of-84 passes for 787 yards, three TDs and four INTs for Tennessee. His ANY/A stands at 6.32 for the year and 6.00 over his past two games.

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Tennessee Titans Free Prediction

SU Winner: Chiefs, ATS Winner: Chiefs, O/U: Over

Team Betting Trends

  • The Tennessee offense has lost three fumbles this season while Kansas City has let eight get away.
  • The Kansas City defensive unit has 26 sacks on the year while Tennessee has 25.
  • Kansas City has produced 4.8 yards per carry over its last three games and 6.2 over its last two.
  • Tennessee has averaged 4.1 yards per carry over its last three outings and 4.6 over its past two.
  • In its last three matches, Tennessee is 1-1-1 ATS and the over cashed in each of those three.
  • The Over/Under for Kansas City’s last game was set at 46. The over cashed in the team’s 26-23 victory over Minnesota.
  • Over its last three games, Kansas City is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
  • The Over/Under for Tennessee’s previous game was set at 43. The over cashed in the 30-20 defeat to Carolina.