Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Tennessee Titans – Free Week 14 Betting Pick

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The Jacksonville Jaguars and Tennessee Titans will go toe-to-toe on the grass of Nissan Stadium. The Thursday Night Football showdown starts at 8:20 p.m. ET and fans can catch the action live on FOX.

Thursday Night FootballBetting Preview: Tennessee Titans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

In this Thursday AFC game, Tennessee has been projected as the favorite and is currently giving up 4 points. The Jaguars are also receiving +140 moneyline odds while the Titans are -160. Vegas has set the over/under (O/U) at 37 points, and if one side can create a bunch of points in the early stages, it will probably create a worthy live betting scenario.

The under has been receiving the bulk of the early sharp action. The game’s O/U originally opened at 38.

The underwhelming Jaguars are 4-6-2 against the spread (ATS) and have lost 8.7 units so far in 2018. They’ve been a decent under bet and have posted an Over-Under record of 5-7.

The Titans are up 2.9 units this season. The team is 6-6 ATS and also has an O/U record of 5-7.

The Jaguars have gone 4-8 straight up (SU), including 1-3 SU against AFC South opponents. The Titans are 6-6 SU overall and 2-2 SU against divisional foes.

The Jags are coming off a 6-0 win over Indianapolis last week. The defensive unit did its part in the win, holding the Colts to just 248 passing yards and 41 yards on the ground. T.Y. Hilton had a productive day for the Colts in that one with 77 yards on eight catches. On the offensive side of the ball, Cody Kessler completed 18 passes on 24 attempts for just 150 yards. Carlos Hyde (just 36 rushing yards on 13 attempts) provided the running attack while Yeldon (seven receptions, 49 yards) and Donte Moncrief (three catches, 40 yards) manned the receiving duties in the win.

Tennessee just earned a 26-22 win over the Jets a week ago. The defense allowed the Jets to rush for 156 yards on 33 attempts. Isaiah Crowell was a bright spot in the defeat, recording 98 rushing yards on 21 attempts for New York. For Tennessee, Marcus Mariota completed 20-of-35 passes for 282 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. Derrick Henry (40 rushing yards on 10 attempts, one TD) handled the running game while Corey Davis (three receptions, 42 yards, one TD) and Taywan Taylor (three catches, 104 yards) led the receiving attack in the win.

Jacksonville has run the ball on 43.2 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Tennessee has a rush percentage of 49.7 percent. The Jaguars have produced 111.3 rush yards/game (including 81.8 per game against South opponents) and have six touchdowns on the ground this year. The Titans are logging 112.7 rush yards per game (110.5 in conference) and have eight total rushing TDs.

The Jags offense has averaged 240.2 yards through the air overall (211.5 per game versus conference opposition) and has 14 passing TDs so far. The Titans have recorded 218.6 pass yards per contest (201 in the AFC) and also have 14 total pass scores.

Defensively, Jacksonville has let opponents rush for an average of 108.4 yards and pass for 221.8 yards per game. The Tennessee D has allowed 234.3 yards per game to opposing passers and 119.8 yards per game on the ground. The Jags are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 5.71 to opponents, while the Titans have allowed a 6.38 ANY/A.

Offensively, Kessler has put up 306 passing yards on the year, and has connected on 72 percent of his 54 attempts with one scores through the air and one interception. He’s got a 3.85 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 4.89 over the last two games.

For the home team, Marcus Mariota has completed 166-of-251 passes for 1,865 yards, nine TDs and seven INTs. Mariota’s ANY/A sits at 5.49 for the year and 8.48 across his last two games.

Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Tennessee Titans NFL Prediction

SU Winner: Titans, ATS Winner: Jaguars, O/U: Under

Team Betting Trends

  • The Over/Under for Jacksonville’s last game going into it was 45.5. The under cashed in the team’s 6-0 win over Indianapolis.
  • Jacksonville, as a team, has averaged 4.4 yards per carry across its last three outings and 4.6 over its last two.
  • Tennessee has averaged 4.6 yards per carry over its last three contests and 5.2 over its last two.
  • Tennessee has lost five fumbles this season while Jacksonville has lost 12.
  • Over its last three matches, Jacksonville is 1-1-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
  • The O/U for Tennessee’s previous matchup was set at 40.5. The over cashed in the 26-22 win over the Jets.
  • In its last three contests, Tennessee is 0-3 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
  • The Jaguars offense has created three pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Titans have put up six such plays.
  • The Jacksonville defense has allowed four pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Tennessee has given up six such plays.
  • The Jacksonville offense has created six rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while Tennessee has created five such runs.
  • The Jaguars defense has allowed seven rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Titans have given up six such runs.
  • The Tennessee defense has sacked opposing QBs 29 times this year. Jacksonville has registered 24 sacks.