The Jacksonville Jaguars (+3) are flying north to battle their AFC South foe Indianapolis Colts at Lucas Oil Stadium. The opening kickoff for this showdown is pegged for 1:00 p.m. ET and fans can view the action live on CBS.
Betting Preview: Indianapolis Colts vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville is the road underdog in this AFC game and is currently getting 3 points. The Jaguars are also receiving +130 moneyline odds while the Colts are -150. Oddsmakers have placed the over/under (O/U) at 47 points. It appears that there could be some decent live betting opportunities while the game’s taking place.
The game’s total has swung downward after opening at 47.5. The original line of -3 has not budged.
The hapless Jaguars are 3-5 against the spread (ATS) and have lost 6.8 units so far. They’ve been a decent under bet and have posted an Over-Under record of 3-5.
The Colts have lost 1.3 units this season. The team is 4-4 ATS and the over has hit in five of its games.
The Jaguars are 3-5 straight up (SU), including 0-2 SU against AFC South opponents. The Colts are 3-5 SU overall and 0-1 SU against divisional foes.
Indianapolis comes into this one on a four-game losing streak while Jacksonville has come out on top in its last two in a row. The Jaguars are most-recently reeling from a 24-18 loss to Philadelphia on October 28. Blake Bortles completed 24-of-41 passes for 286 yards and one touchdown. Bortles (43 rushing yards on eight attempts) also led the running attack. T.J. Yeldon (seven receptions, 83 yards) and D.J. Chark Jr. (four catches, 41 yards) shared the receiving duties in the defeat.
Indianapolis is coming off of a 42-28 win over Oakland. The team’s defense let the Raiders run for 103 yards on 19 rush attempts, along with one rushing TD. Doug Martin had a good showing in the loss, recording 72 rushing yards on 13 attempts for Oakland. For Indianapolis, Andrew Luck completed 22-of-31 passes for 239 yards and three touchdowns. Marlon Mack (132 yards on 25 rush attempts, two TDs) and Nyheim Hines (78 yards on 11 carries) mounted the running game as Jack Doyle (six receptions, 70 yards, one TD) and Dontrelle Inman (six catches, 52 yards) led the pass-catching attack in the win.
Looking at offensive play-calling, each team has a similar run-pass ratio on the season. Jacksonville has run the ball on 35.9 percent of its offensive possessions while Indianapolis has an overall rush percentage of 36.9. The Jaguars have produced 95.0 rush yards/game (including 78.5 per game against South opponents) and have two scores on the ground this year. The Colts are averaging 117.6 rushing yards per game (41.0 in conference) and have four total rush TDs.
If the numbers so far this season are any indication, then it appears the Colts may be the more disruptive team in the trenches. Their offensive line has yielded only 10 sacks while the D-line has registered 21 sacks. The Jaguars offensive line has given up 22 sacks and their defense has sacked opposing QBs just 19 times.
The Jags offensive scheme has logged 272.1 yards per game in the air overall (186.0 per game against conference opposition) and has 11 passing TDs so far. The Colts have recorded 273.4 pass yards per game (464 against AFC foes) and have 23 total pass scores.
Defensively, Jacksonville should have the upper hand when it comes to limiting the pass. The team has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 123.3 yards and pass for 206.8 yards per game. The Indianapolis defense has given up 275.6 yards per game to opposing passers and 109.9 yards per game on the ground. The Jags are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 5.74 to opponents, while the Colts have allowed a 6.34 ANY/A.
Offensively, Bortles is up to 1,960 passing yards this year. The signal-caller has connected on 61 percent of his 278 attempts with 10 scores through the air and eight interceptions. He has a 5.78 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 6.07 over the last two outings.
Andrew Luck has completed 208-of-319 passes for 2,031 yards, 19 TDs and eight INTs for Indianapolis. His ANY/A stands at 6.00 for the season and 9.91 over his last two outings.
Jacksonville Jaguars at Indianapolis Colts Betting Pick
SU Winner: Colts, ATS Winner: Colts, O/U: Under
Team Betting Notes
- Both teams have produced two pass plays of 40 yards or more. The Jaguars have have made 10 pass plays of 30+ yards while the Colts have accounted for five such plays.
- The Jacksonville defense has allowed one pass play of 40 or more yards, while Indianapolis has given up zero such plays.
- The Jacksonville offense has created four rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Indianapolis has created five such runs.
- The Jaguars defense has allowed five rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Colts have given up eight such runs.
- The Indianapolis D has sacked opposing QBs 21 times this season. Jacksonville has produced 19 sacks.
- Jacksonville, as a team, has averaged 3.6 yards per carry across its past three games and 3.6 over its last two.
- Indianapolis has averaged 5.7 yards per carry over its last three contests and 5.7 over its last two.
- Over its last three games, Indianapolis is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
- The Over/Under for Jacksonville’s last game going into it was 44.5. The under cashed in the team’s 24-18 loss to Philadelphia.
- Over its last three matches, Jacksonville is 0-3 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
- The O/U for Indianapolis’ previous game going into it was 51. The over cashed in the team’s 42-28 win over Oakland.
- Jacksonville has lost six of its last seven games SU, with a 19-point victory over New York on September 30th accounting for the only win over that stretch.