Jacksonville Jaguars at Houston Texans – Free Week 2 Betting Prediction

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The Jacksonville Jaguars (+9) are traveling west to face the Houston Texans at NRG Stadium. CBS has the TV rights and this AFC South game is scheduled to kick off at 1:00 p.m. ET.

Betting Preview: Jacksonville Jaguars at Houston Texans

Jacksonville is a live dog in this Sunday matchup and is currently getting 9 points. The Jaguars are also receiving +270 moneyline odds while the Texans are -350. Vegas has placed the over/under (O/U) at 43 points. If the underdog strikes early on, it’ll probably create a solid in-game betting scenario.

The game’s total has shifted down after originally being set at 45. The opening line of -9 has remained consistent.

The Jaguars are 0-1 against the spread (ATS) and have lost 1.0 unit so far in 2019. The team has posted an O/U mark of 1-0.

The Texans have lost 1.0 unit for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 1-0 ATS and also have an O/U record of 1-0.

The Jaguars have gone 0-1 straight up (SU) and they have yet to face any AFC South opponents this year. The Texans are 0-1 SU overall and also 0-0 SU against divisional foes.

The Jaguars are reeling from a 40-26 defeat to Kansas City in Week 1 where the Jaguars completed 27-of-33 passes for 350 yards, three touchdowns and one interception. Gardner Minshew II went 22-for-25 for 275 yards, two touchdowns and one interception while Nick Foles completed five-of-eight for 75 yards and one touchdown. Leonard Fournette (66 rushing yards on 13 attempts) led the ground attack. Chris Conley (six receptions, 97 yards, one TD) and Dede Westbrook (five catches, 30 yards, one TD) shared the receiving duties in the defeat.

Houston narrowly fell 30-28 to New Orleans in Week 1. Deshaun Watson completed 20-of-30 passes for 268 yards, three touchdowns and one interception. Carlos Hyde (83 rushing yards on 10 attempts) and Duke Johnson (57 yards on nine carries) spearheaded the running game while DeAndre Hopkins (eight receptions, 111 yards, two TDs) and Johnson (four catches, 33 yards) led the receiving attack in the loss.

If last year’s numbers can translate to 2019, then it’s looking like the Texans might hold an edge in all aspects of the ground game, as their backfield logged 4.3 yards per carry last season while the defense allowed a YPC of 3.4 to opponents. The Jaguars rushed for 4.1 yards per carry last year while allowing 4.3 YPC to the opposition.

Jacksonville Jaguars at Houston Texans Free NFL Pick

SU Winner: Texans, ATS Winner: Texans, O/U: Under

Betting Notes

  • The O/U for Jacksonville’s last game was set at 48.5. The over cashed in the team’s 40-26 loss to Kansas City.
  • The Houston offense has lost zero fumbles this season while Jacksonville has let one get away.
  • The O/U for Houston’s last outing was set at 51.5. The over cashed in the 30-28 defeat to New Orleans.
  • The Jacksonville O-line yielded 53 sacks last season. Their defense created 37 sacks.
  • Houston offensive line allowed 62 sacks last season. Their defense forced 43 sacks
  • Jacksonville created seven rushing touchdowns last season.
  • Houston put up 12 rushing touchdowns last season.
  • Jacksonville converted 15 passing touchdowns last season.
  • Houston converted 26 passing touchdowns last season.
  • The Houston defense has sacked opposing QBs one time this year. Jacksonville has yet to record a sack.