Jacksonville Jaguars at Cincinnati Bengals: Free Week 7 Betting Prediction

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The Bengals (+3) are set to greet the Jacksonville Jaguars (-3) in Cincinnati. This early afternoon game will get underway at 1:00 p.m. ET and CBS is scheduled to televise the action.

Betting Preview: Cincinnati Bengals vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

Cincinnati is the home underdog in this AFC game and is currently receiving 3 points. The Jaguars are also receiving -150 moneyline odds while the Bengals are +130. Oddsmakers have placed the over/under (O/U) at 44 points. If Jacksonville gets down early, it would probably generate a solid live betting scenario.

The line originally opened at 4.5 and the game’s over/under was initially 47.5, so the general public has been siding with both the Bengals and the under.

The Jaguars are 3-3 against the spread (ATS) and have lost 2.1 units so far in 2019. The team’s posted an O/U record of 3-3.

The lackluster Bengals have lost 6.5 units this season. They’re 3-3 ATS and have an O/U record of 2-4.

The Jaguars have gone 2-4 straight up (SU) in 2019 while the Bengals are 0-6 SU.

The Jags dropped one to New Orleans 13-6 in a Week 6 game where the passing game left much to be desired as Gardner Minshew II completed just 14 passes on 29 attempts for 163 yards and one interception. Leonard Fournette (72 rushing yards on 20 attempts) spearheaded the running attack. Fournette (six receptions, 46 yards) and DJ Chark Jr. (three catches, 43 yards) handled the receiving duties in the defeat.

Back in Week 6, Baltimore took care of this Cincinnati crew by a score of 23-17. The Bengals defense allowed the Ravens to eat up the clock by running for 269 yards on 43 rush attempts, including two rush TDs. Lamar Jackson was on a different level for Baltimore, recording 152 rushing yards and a score on 19 attempts. For Cincinnati, Andy Dalton completed 21-of-39 passes for 235 yards and one interception. Joe Mixon (10 rushing yards on eight attempts) handled the running game as Auden Tate (five receptions, 91 yards) and Alex Erickson (four catches, 47 yards) led the receiving corps in the loss.

Jacksonville has run the ball on 42.6 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Cincinnati has an overall rush percentage of 30.8 percent. The Jaguars have produced 127.5 rush yards/game and have just a single touchdown on the ground this year. The Bengals are totaling 56.5 rush yards per game and have two total rushing TDs.

If the numbers so far this season can translate to this game, then it appears the Jaguars ought to be the more disruptive team in the trenches. Their offensive line has yielded just 53 sacks while their D-line logged 37 sacks. The Bengals, on the other hand, have given up 37 sacks and their defense has recorded only 34 sacks.

The Jags offensive scheme has tallied 252.8 yards per game through the air overall and has 10 passing TD so far. The Bengals have recorded 274.5 pass yards per contest and have seven total pass scores.

Jacksonville has allowed opponents to run for an average of 131.2 yards and throw for 260.8 yards per game. The Cincinnati D has given up 249.8 yards per game to opposing passers and 184.5 yards per game on the ground. The Jags are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of 6.89 to opponents, while the Bengals have allowed an 8.21 ANY/A.

Offensively, Minshew II has put up 1,068 passing yards this season. He’s completed 65 percent of his 150 attempts with seven passing scores and only two interceptions. Minshew II has a 6.43 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 6.55 over the last two games.

As a group, Leonard Fournette, DJ Chark Jr. and Dede Westbrook have combined for 597 total yards and three touchdowns over the last couple of outings.

In the host locker room, Andy Dalton has managed to complete 123-of-205 passes for 1,385 yards, five TDs and five INTs. Dalton’s ANY/A sits at a less-than-ideal 4.96 for the season and 5.92 over his past two outings.

As a group, Joe Mixon, Tyler Boyd and Auden Tate have combined for 398 yards from scrimmage and two touchdowns the last two games.

Jacksonville Jaguars at Cincinnati Bengals NFL Prediction

SU Winner: Jaguars, ATS Winner: Jaguars, O/U: Under

Betting Trends

  • The Cincinnati offense has lost six fumbles this season while Jacksonville has lost five.
  • The Jacksonville defense has 19 sacks on the year while Cincinnati has just seven.
  • Jacksonville has averaged 5.3 yards per carry over its past three games and 4.1 over its last two.
  • Cincinnati has averaged 3.8 yards per carry over its last three outings and 3.8 over its past two.
  • Over its last three matchups, Cincinnati is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
  • The O/U for Jacksonville’s last game was set at 42. The under cashed in the team’s 13-6 defeat to New Orleans.
  • In its last three matches, Jacksonville is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
  • The Over/Under for Cincinnati’s last outing was set at 47. The under cashed in the 23-17 loss to Baltimore.