Iowa State Cyclones vs. Oklahoma Sooners – College Football Free Betting Pick

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The No. 9 Sooners of Oklahoma (-13) are set to welcome their conference foe Iowa State Cyclones to Gaylord Family-Oklahoma Memorial Stadium. Kickoff for this big game is scheduled for 8:00 p.m. ET and FOX will broadcast the action.

Betting Preview: Iowa State Cyclones vs. Oklahoma Sooners

In this Saturday Big 12 game, Oklahoma has been projected as the heavy favorite and the team’s currently giving up 13 points. The Cyclones are also receiving +375 moneyline odds while the Sooners are -550. This Big 12 tilt should provide several decent live betting scenarios, and oddsmakers have set the over/under (O/U) at 67.5 points.

The Cyclones are down 2.9 units this season and 5-3 against the spread (ATS). The team’s posted an O/U record of 4-4.

The Sooners are up 1.0 unit in 2019. The team is 4-4 ATS and also has an even O/U record of 4-4.

The Cyclones have gone 5-3 straight up (SU), including 3-2 SU against conference opponents. The Sooners are 7-1 SU overall and are also 4-1 SU in conference play.

The Cyclones came up short to Oklahoma State 34-27 in a contest where the passing attack could’ve been sharper as Brock Purdy completed 39-of-62 passes for 382 yards, one touchdown and three interceptions. Breece Hall (76 rushing yards on 18 attempts, two TDs) led the ground attack in the loss. Charlie Kolar (eight receptions, 88 yards, one TD) and Deshaunte Jones (eight catches, 91 yards) shared the receiving duties.

Two weeks ago, Kansas State knocked off this Oklahoma crew by a score of 48-41. The Sooners defense allowed the Wildcats to rush for 213 yards on 45 attempts, including six rush TDs. James Gilbert had a good showing, posting 105 rushing yards and a score on 13 attempts for Kansas State. For Oklahoma, Jalen Hurts completed 19-of-26 passes for 395 yards and one touchdown. Hurts (96 yards on 19 rush attempts, three TDs) handled the ground game in the defeat while CeeDee Lamb (five receptions, 135 yards, one TD) and Charleston Rambo (four catches, 82 yards) led the pass-catching attack.

Iowa State’s run the ball on 46.2 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Oklahoma has an overall rush percentage of 57 percent. The Cyclones have run for 151.1 yards per game (including 132.6 per game against Big 12 opponents) and have 18 scores via handoffs this year. The Sooners are logging 252.1 rushing yards per game (208.8 in conference) and have 25 total rush TDs.

The Cyclones offensive scheme has tallied 328.4 yards per game in the air overall (315.6 per game against conference opposition) and has 17 passing scores so far. The Sooners have put up 346.3 pass yards per game (343 against Big 12 foes) and have 24 total pass TDs.

Defensively, Iowa State has allowed opponents to run for an average of 116.3 yards and pass for 226.1 yards per game. The Oklahoma defense has given up 200.4 yards per game to opposing passers and 139.5 yards per game to opposing runners. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to opponents, as the Cyclones have given up an ANY/A of 5.68 to opposing QBs, while the Sooners are yielding an ANY/A of 5.47.

Offensively, Purdy has amassed 2,189 passing yards this season, and has connected on 68 percent of his 263 attempts with 12 scores through the air and six interceptions. Purdy has a 7.59 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 6.75 over the last two games.

Look for a balanced approach offensively from Iowa State in this one. Breece Hall (292 rushing yards, five rush TDs, 47 receiving yards on the year), Charlie Kolar (407 receiving yards, three receiving TDs) and Deshaunte Jones (535 receiving yards, one TD) have each played key roles of late.

For the home team, Jalen Hurts has managed to complete 117-of-163 passes for 2,153 yards, 18 TDs and three INTs. Hurts’ ANY/A sits at 13.82 for the year and 16.85 over his past two outings.

Look for Hurts to distribute the football early and often in this one. CeeDee Lamb (745 receiving yards and 11 receiving TDs this season), Jalen Hurts (21 receiving yards), and Charleston Rambo (488 receiving yards, four TDs) have collectively put up 359 receiving yards and two scores over the last two games.

These two teams faced off last year with the final result being a 37-27 victory for Oklahoma.

Iowa State Cyclones at Oklahoma Sooners NCAA Prediction

SU Winner: Oklahoma, ATS Winner: Oklahoma, O/U: Over

Team Betting Notes

  • The Oklahoma defense has notched 23 sacks on the year while Iowa State has 18.
  • The Oklahoma offense has lost four fumbles in 2019 while Iowa State has let five get away.
  • The Cyclones offense has recorded eight pass plays of 40 yards or more, while the Sooners have accounted for 14 such plays.
  • The Iowa State defense has allowed four pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Oklahoma has given up zero such plays.
  • The Iowa State offense has created nine rushing plays of 20+ yards, while Oklahoma has created 28 such runs.
  • The Cyclones defense has allowed seven rushing plays of 20+ yards, while the Sooners have given up 15 such runs.
  • The O/U for Oklahoma’s last match was 59. The over cashed in the 48-41 defeat to Kansas State.
  • In its last three contests, Oklahoma is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
  • Over its last three matches, Iowa State is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
  • The O/U for Iowa State’s last game going into it was 65. The under cashed in the team’s 34-27 loss to Oklahoma State.
  • Iowa State, as a team, has averaged 4.5 yards per carry over its last three games and 5.5 over its last two.
  • Oklahoma has averaged 5.6 yards per carry over its last three contests and 4.7 over its last two.