Indiana Pacers vs. Washington Wizards Betting Prediction 02/23/19

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The NBA’s top scoring defense will be on the road at Capital One Arena, when the Indiana Pacers (39-20) go head-to-head with the Washington Wizards (24-35). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 221.5 points and it will air on Fox Sports Midwest – Indiana at 7 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 23, 2019.

Indiana Pacers at Washington Wizards ATS Odds

In the Pacers’ last matchup, they defeated the New Orleans Pelicans, 126-111, despite being 4.5-point underdogs. The Wizards, on the other hand, were defeated by the Charlotte Hornets, 123-110, and failed to cover as 9-point underdogs. Both games finished over their projected point totals. The Indiana game went 18 points over the projected point total of 219, while the Washington game went 0.5 points over the projected point total of 232.5.

Indiana dominated nearly every facet of the game. They had a solid turnover percentage of 9.2 (better than their season average of 12.3) and a free throw rate of 0.258 (above their season average of 0.173). New Orleans was 14.5 and 0.183, respectively, for those same stats. Washington, on the other hand, had a better turnover percentage (11.0 vs. 11.0). Bradley Beal put together a good game for Washington with 46 points, seven assists and six rebounds. Domantas Sabonis, meanwhile had a good outing for Indiana, finishing with 18 points and 13 rebounds.

In the season series between these two teams, the Pacers lead two games to one. The two teams combined for 196 points in their most recent game, which was well under the projected point total of 218.5. Indiana lost 107-89, covering as a 1-point underdog. Washington launched 28 three pointers, making 12 of them (42.9 percent), while Indiana was 9-31 (29.0 percent). In the victory, Beal led all scorers with 25 points.

Vegas is known to set the total high when the Pacers are playing, as 35 of their 58 games have ended under the projected point total. Indiana heads into the game with records of 39-20 straight up (SU) and 29-28-1 against the spread (ATS).

Unlike Indiana, Wizards games have typically finished over the O/U total (62.1 percent). Moreover, Washington is 24-35 SU and 24-32-2 ATS.

The Pacers’ Darren Collison has been playing well over his last five games, averaging 13 points,6.8 assists,1.2 steals per game. Meanwhile, Beal has averaged 29 points,8.4 assists,2.4 steals during that same time frame for the Wizards.

It will be a showdown of contrasting tempos as the fast-breaking Wizards (ranked fifth in the league in possessions per game) will look to push the slower-paced Pacers (26th in possessions per game).

Pacers vs. Wizards Pick

NBA Prediction: SU Winner – Wizards, ATS Winner – Wizards, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Pacers average 8.9 steals per game, which ranks fourth in the NBA. The Wizards rank 17th in steals allowed per game (7.7).
  • Indiana ranks third in rebounds allowed per game (43.0) while Washington ranks 27th (47.7).
  • The Pacers rank fifth in second chance points allowed per game (12.2) while the Wizards rank 24th (14.4).
  • Washington ranks 11th in three pointers attempted per game (33.5) while Indiana ranks 28th (25.5).
  • Indiana averages 15.0 fast break points per game, which ranks 10th in the league. Washington ranks 24th in fast break points allowed per game (14.9).
  • The Pacers rank fourth in points allowed in the paint per game (44.1) while the Wizards rank 25th (50.9).
  • The Pacers rank third in points off turnovers per game (19.8) while the Wizards rank 20th in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.2).
  • Indiana ranks seventh in assists per game (26.1) while Washington ranks 27th in assists allowed per game (26.0).
  • When allowing below 100 points, Washington is 8-0 and Indiana is 21-3.
  • When reaching the century mark, the Wizards are 23-30 and the Pacers are 34-10.
  • Washington is 16-10-1 ATS at home, while Indiana is 12-15-1 ATS on the road.
  • The Pacers have 15 overs and 13 unders in 28 road games.
  • The Wizards have 18 overs and 9 unders in 27 home games.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Pacers are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Wizards are 2-2-1.
  • In their last five games, Indiana has 4 unders and 1 over, while Washington has 5 overs.
  • The Pacers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 10.8, up from 5.4 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the Wizards have scored an average of 119.0 points per game (5.2 above their season average) and allowed an average of 120.8 points per game (3.8 above their season average).