Indiana Pacers vs. Utah Jazz ATS Prediction

betdsiArticles, Basketball, NBA

The Utah Jazz (9-11) will be at home in Vivint Smart Home Arena when they square off with the Indiana Pacers (11-8). Action starts at 9 p.m. ET on Monday, November 26, 2018.

Indiana Pacers vs. Utah Jazz ATS Odds

In the Jazz’s last outing, they blew out the Sacramento Kings, 133-112, as 2.5-point underdogs. The Pacers, on the other hand, were topped by the San Antonio Spurs, 111-100, and were unable to cover as 1.5-point underdogs. Both games went over their projected point totals. The Utah game finished 25.5 points over the projected point total of 219.5, while the Indiana game finished 3.5 points over the projected point total of 207.5.

Utah played a perfect game. They had a superb offensive rebounding percentage of 31.0 (above their season average of 21.4) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.587 (above their season average of 0.512). For those same stats, Sacramento had marks of 16.3 and 0.524, respectively. Indiana, meanwhile, forced San Antonio into a turnover percentage of 13.8 (above their season average of 10.6). Utah’s Rudy Gobert played well, finishing with 18 points, 15 rebounds and five assists. Indiana, meanwhile, rallied around Domantas Sabonis, who finished with 19 points and 16 rebounds.

In their first matchup this year, Sabonis led the Pacers to a 121-94 win. He put up 19 points, 9 rebounds and 9 assists. Indiana covered as a 4-point underdog and the two teams combined for 215 points, which was over the projected point total of 206. Indiana out-rebounded Utah. The Pacers had 11 offensive rebounds and 44 total rebounds, while the Jazz had three and 36, respectively.

A little over half of the Pacers’ games have finished under the projected point total. Indiana holds records of 11-8 straight up (SU) and 8-10-1 against the spread (ATS).

Of the Jazz’s 19 games that accepted bets, 12 have finished over the O/U total. Further, Utah is 9-11 SU and 8-11 ATS.

Sabonis and Bojan Bogdanovic have played at a high level over the last five games for Indiana. Sabonis has averaged 14 points,9.8 rebounds,4.4 assists per game, while Bogdanovic has recorded 20 points,1.2 steals a game during that span.

Half-court execution will be critical when a pair of the league’s slowest-paced teams face off. Utah ranks 22nd in possessions per game (101.7) and Indiana is 27th (100.0). Additionally, the Pacers, who rank 27th in offensive rebounding percentage (20.3 percent), will square off against the Jazz, who rank fourth in defensive rebounding percentage (79.2 percent).

Indiana Pacers at Utah Jazz Pick

Pick: SU Winner – Pacers, ATS Winner – Pacers, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Jazz rank 5 in assists allowed per game (22) while the Pacers rank 8 (23.105263157894736).
  • Indiana ranks second in points off turnovers per game (21.0) while Utah ranks 26th in points off turnovers allowed per game (18.9).
  • The Jazz rank third in three pointers allowed per game (27.6) while the Pacers rank 20th (32.1).
  • Indiana ranks first in points allowed in the paint per game (39.6) while Utah ranks 18th (49.2).
  • Indiana ranks 1 in second chance points allowed per game (10.105263157894736) while Utah ranks 6 (11.7).
  • The Pacers average 8.9 steals per game, which ranks third in the NBA. The Jazz rank 25th in steals allowed per game (8.8).
  • The Pacers rank 11 in fast break points per game (14.947368421052632) while the Jazz rank 27 (10.3).
  • Utah ranks 24 in rebounds per game (42.55) while Indiana ranks 26 (41.578947368421055).
  • Utah ranks fourth in blocks allowed per game (4.4) while Indiana ranks 23rd (5.8).
  • Indiana is 5-1 when they allow under 100 points, while Utah is 3-2.
  • The Jazz are 7-6 when they reach the century mark, while the Pacers are 9-4.
  • Indiana is 3-5-1 ATS on the road, while Utah is 3-4 ATS at home.
  • In 9 road games, the Pacers have 6 overs and 3 unders.
  • The Jazz have 6 overs and 1 under in 7 home games.

Bettings Trends:

  • In their last five games, Indiana and Utah have both had 3 overs and 2 unders.
  • The Pacers are 2-3 ATS over their last five games, while the Jazz are 1-4.
  • The Pacers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 2.8, up from 2.7 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the Jazz have scored an average of 103.6 points per game (2.8 below their season average) and allowed an average of 105.6 points per game (2.7 below their season average).