Indiana Pacers vs. San Antonio Spurs Betting Prediction

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Don’t expect a fast-paced game when the Indiana Pacers (2-2), 2-point underdogs, visit San Antonio to take on the Spurs (2-1). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 212 points and it will air on Fox Sports Midwest – Indiana at 8:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday, October 24, 2018.

Indiana Pacers vs. San Antonio Spurs Betting Odds

The Spurs won a close one over the Los Angeles Lakers in their last matchup, 143-142, despite being 1.5-point underdogs. The Pacers, on the other hand, were defeated by the Minnesota Timberwolves, 101-91, and were unable to cover as 2-point underdogs. The San Antonio game went 58.5 points over the projected point total of 226.5, while the Indiana game went 37 points under the projected point total of 229.

San Antonio dominated nearly every stat category in the game. They had a solid free throw rate of 0.289 and a turnover percentage of 7.3. For those same stats, Los Angeles was 0.168 and 11.2, respectively. Indiana, meanwhile, had a better offensive rebounding percentage (23.5 vs. 19.5). San Antonio was lifted by LaMarcus Aldridge, who had 37 points, 10 rebounds and five assists. Victor Oladipo, meanwhile was a key piece for Indiana with 20 points and seven rebounds.

Half-court execution will be of utmost importance when two of the NBA’s slowest-paced teams face off. San Antonio ranks 30th in possessions per game (97.0) and Indiana is 27th (97.7) since last season. Furthermore, the Pacers, who rank 25th in free throw attempt (FTA) rate (0.172), will clash against the Spurs, who rank fourth in opponents’ FTA rate (0.173).

The Pacers are 50-36 straight up (SU) and 43-45-2 against the spread (ATS) since last season. A little over half of Indiana games have finished over the projected point total since last season.

On the other hand, the Spurs, are 49-36 SU and 52-47-2 ATS since last season. Over that same time frame, games involving San Antonio have gone over the O/U total 57.4 percent of the time.

The Pacers dominated this series last year, winning both games. In the most recent matchup, Indiana won 94-86. Indiana did an excellent job of converting from the charity stripe (16-17; 94.1 percent). San Antonio, meanwhile, had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (22.7 vs. 16.3).

Indiana Pacers at San Antonio Spurs Pick

Pick: SU Winner – Spurs, ATS Winner – Spurs, O/U – Over

Betting Notes (2017-Present):

  • San Antonio ranks third in three pointers allowed per game (26.5) while Indiana ranks 27th (30.8).
  • The Pacers rank second in points off turnovers per game (18.4) while the Spurs rank 19th (16.1).
  • Indiana ranks second in steals per game (8.7) while San Antonio ranks 15th (7.6).
  • Indiana ranks 12th in points in the paint per game (45.2) while San Antonio ranks 13th in points allowed in the paint per game (44.0).
  • The Spurs rank sixth in blocks per game (5.4) while the Pacers rank 26th (4.1).
  • The Spurs rank ninth in second chance points per game (13.2) while the Pacers rank 15th in second chance points allowed per game (12.6).
  • Indiana ranks fifth in fast break points per game (15.0) while San Antonio ranks 25th (10.0).
  • When allowing under 100 points, San Antonio is 33-11 and Indiana is 30-5.
  • The Pacers are 42-19 when they reach the century mark, while the Spurs are 39-16.