Indiana Pacers vs. Philadelphia 76ers ATS Prediction 03/10/19

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The Indiana Pacers (42-24) will travel to the Wells Fargo Center to square off with the Philadelphia 76ers (41-25). The game starts at 3:30 p.m. ET on Sunday, March 10, 2019.

Indiana Pacers vs. Philadelphia 76ers ATS Odds

Both teams did not cover as underdogs in their last game. The 76ers (8-point underdogs) were defeated by the Houston Rockets, 107-91, while the Pacers (9.5-point underdogs) fell to the Milwaukee Bucks, 117-98. The Philadelphia game finished 32 points under the projected point total of 230, while the Indiana game went 8.5 points under the projected point total of 223.5.

Indiana had a better turnover percentage (9.2 vs. 12.0) while Philadelphia had an offensive rebounding percentage of 37.9 (above their season average of 24.0). Ben Simmons had a good game for Philadelphia, contributing 15 points, 10 assists and nine rebounds. Meanwhile, Myles Turner fueled Indiana with 22 points and 17 rebounds.

The 76ers lead the season series two games to one. The two teams combined for 216 points in their most recent game, which was under the projected point total of 224.5. Philadelphia won 120-96, covering as a 4-point underdog. Philadelphia’s 0.632 effective field goal percentage was its biggest advantage over Indiana, who had a rate of 0.448. Thaddeus Young was the top overall scorer in the game with 27 points.

Vegas has a tendency to set the total high when the Pacers are involved, as 57.6 percent of their contests have ended under the O/U total. Indiana comes into the game with records of 42-24 straight up (SU) and 33-32-1 against the spread (ATS).

A little over half of 76ers games have also finished under the O/U total. Further, Philadelphia owns records of 41-25 SU and 31-35 ATS.

The Pacers’ Bojan Bogdanovic has been playing well over his last five games, averaging 27 points per game. Meanwhile, Simmons has averaged 17 points,12.8 rebounds,7.8 assists,2.4 steals during that same time frame for the 76ers.

It might be an error-filled game for the Philadelphia offense. Philadelphia ranks 27th in the league in ball protection (turnover percentage of 14.5 percent), while the ball-hawking defense of Indiana forces the third-most turnovers in the NBA (15.2 percent).

Indiana Pacers at Philadelphia 76ers Betting Pick

NBA Pick: SU Winner – Pacers, ATS Winner – Pacers, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The 76ers rank eighth in fast break points per game (15.5) while the Pacers rank 16th in fast break points allowed per game (13.8).
  • Indiana ranks third in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.9) while Philadelphia ranks 24th (17.7).
  • The Pacers rank fourth in points allowed in the paint per game (44.6) while the 76ers rank 22nd (50.9).
  • Philadelphia ranks third in blocks allowed per game (4.0) while Indiana ranks 15th (5.1).
  • Philadelphia averages 27.2 assists per game, which ranks third in the NBA. Indiana ranks 12th in assists allowed per game (24.1).
  • The 76ers rank fourth in rebounds per game (47.1) while the Pacers rank 24th (43.1).
  • The 76ers rank 18th in three pointers attempted per game (30.7) while the Pacers rank 28th (25.8).
  • Indiana averages 8.8 steals per game, which ranks third in the league. Philadelphia ranks 22nd in steals allowed per game (8.2).
  • Philadelphia is 9-0 when they allow less than 100 points, while Indiana is 22-3.
  • The Pacers are 37-13 when they score more than 100 points, while the 76ers are 41-20.
  • Philadelphia is 18-16 ATS at home, while Indiana is 13-18-1 ATS on the road.
  • The total has gone over in 17 of the Pacers’ 32 road games, while 17 of the 76ers’ 34 home games have gone over.

Bettings Trends:

  • The 76ers are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Pacers are 2-3.
  • In their last five games, Philadelphia has 5 unders, while Indiana has 3 unders and 2 overs.
  • The 76ers have been outscored by an average of 1.6 points in their last five games. On the season, Philadelphia has defeated opponents by an average of 3.0 points.
  • During their last five games, the Pacers have scored an average of 107.6 points per game (0.9 below their season average) and allowed an average of 111.0 points per game (7.1 above their season average).