Indiana Pacers vs. Houston Rockets ATS Prediction 11/15/19

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The Houston Rockets (8-3) and the Indiana Pacers (7-4) face off at Toyota Center. The Rockets will try to extend their five-game winning streak. The game will air on Fox Sports Midwest – Indiana at 8 p.m. ET on Friday, November 15, 2019.

Indiana Pacers vs. Houston Rockets Betting Odds

Both teams covered as favorites in their last outing. The Rockets (2-point favorites) defeated the Los Angeles Clippers 102-93, while the Pacers (1.5-point favorites) beat the Oklahoma City Thunder 111-85. The Houston game went 38 points under the projected point total of 233, while the Indiana game finished 16 points under the projected point total of 212.

Indiana played a nearly flawless game. They had an offensive rebounding percentage of 26.2 (above their season average of 23.3) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.527 (above their season average of 0.519). For those same stats, Oklahoma City was 18.8 and 0.390, respectively. The Rockets, meanwhile, made 22 of their 27 free throws (81.5 percent) and had a turnover percentage of 9.3 (better than their season average of 13.5). Houston’s James Harden led the way, putting up 47 points, seven assists and six rebounds. Meanwhile, Indiana received a boost from Domantas Sabonis, who had 18 points and 16 rebounds.

The Rockets dominated this series last year, winning both contests. In the last contest, Houston won 115-103. The Rockets’ offensive rebounding percentage was their biggest strength over the Pacers. Houston had a rate of 21.1, while Indiana posted a mark of 14.3. This is the first time these teams will meet this year.

Of the Pacers’ 11 games, six have finished under the total. Indiana heads into the contest with records of 7-4 straight up (SU) and 5-4-2 against the spread (ATS).

Rockets games have typically gone under the projected point total (63.6 percent). Moreover, Houston owns records of 8-3 SU and 5-6 ATS.

The Pacers’ T.J. Warren has been playing well over his last five games, averaging 23 points,1.2 steals per game. Meanwhile, Harden has averaged 38 points,8.0 assists,6.4 rebounds,2.0 steals during that same time frame for the Rockets.

It will be a matchup of conflicting styles as the up-tempo Rockets (ranked fourth in the league in possessions per game) will look to push the slower-paced Pacers (26th in possessions per game). Moreover, the Pacers rank fourth in turnover percentage (12.8 percent), while the Rockets rank 25th in opponents’ turnover percentage (13.7 percent).

Indiana Pacers vs. Houston Rockets ATS Pick

Free Pick: SU Winner – Rockets, ATS Winner – Rockets, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Pacers average 14.4 second chance points per game, which ranks seventh in the league. The Rockets rank 14th in second chance points allowed per game (13.1).
  • Houston ranks first in three pointers attempted per game (46.3) while Indiana ranks 29th (24.3).
  • The Pacers average 20.8 points off turnovers per game, which ranks third in the league. The Rockets rank 23rd in points off turnovers allowed per game (19.7).
  • Indiana ranks second in steals allowed per game (6.3) while Houston ranks 21st (8.7).
  • Indiana ranks sixth in assists per game (25.7) while Houston ranks 23rd in assists allowed per game (25.5).
  • The Pacers rank second in fast break points allowed per game (10.5) while the Rockets rank 24th (17.0).
  • The Pacers rank seventh in rebounds allowed per game (43.6) while the Rockets rank 25th (48.6).
  • Indiana ranks fourth in points in the paint per game (52.4) while Houston ranks 24th in points allowed in the paint per game (51.5).
  • When allowing under 100 points, Indiana is 3-1 and Houston is 2-0.
  • In games where they reach the century mark, the Pacers are 7-2 and the Rockets are 8-3.
  • Houston is 2-3 ATS at home, while Indiana is 2-3 ATS on the road.
  • The total has gone over in 3 of the Rockets’ 5 home games, while 3 of the Pacers’ 5 road games have gone over.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Rockets are 5-0 ATS over their last five games, while the Pacers are 3-1-1.
  • In their last five games, Houston has 4 unders and 1 over, while Indiana has 3 overs and 2 unders.
  • The Rockets’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 12.4, up from 2.5 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the Pacers have scored an average of 114.6 points per game (5.1 above their season average) and allowed an average of 104.2 points per game (0.2 above their season average).