Indiana Pacers vs. Detroit Pistons Free Prediction 02/25/19

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The NBA’s top scoring defense will be a 2.5-point underdog on the road at Little Caesars Arena, when the Indiana Pacers (40-20) clash against the Detroit Pistons (28-30). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 212.5 points and it will air on Fox Sports Midwest – Indiana at 7 p.m. ET on Monday, February 25, 2019.

Indiana Pacers vs. Detroit Pistons ATS Odds

Both teams covered in their last contest. The Pistons (3.5-point underdogs) defeated the Miami Heat 119-96, while the Pacers (1-point underdog) beat the Washington Wizards 119-112. Both games went over their projected point totals. The Detroit game went 5.5 points over the projected point total of 209.5, while the Indiana game finished 3.5 points over the projected point total of 227.5.

Indiana dominated nearly every facet of the game. They had an extraordinary offensive rebounding percentage of 33.3 (above their season average of 22.0) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.633 (above their season average of 0.532). For those same stats, Washington was 21.6 and 0.614, respectively. The Pistons, meanwhile, had a ridiculous effective field goal percentage of 0.613 (above their season average of 0.504) and had a free throw rate of 0.263 (above their season average of 0.198). Detroit was lifted by Andre Drummond, who put up 12 points and 14 rebounds. Meanwhile, Domantas Sabonis played a pivotal role for Indiana with 13 points and 12 rebounds.

In their first matchup this season, Sabonis led the Pacers to a 125-88 victory. He registered a double-double with 19 points and 11 rebounds. The two teams combined for 213 points, which was over the projected point total of 206.5, and Indiana covered as a 7-point favorite. The Pacers’ turnover percentage was their largest strength over the Pistons. Indiana had a rate of 11.9, while Detroit posted a mark of 18.6.

Of the Pacers’ 60 games, 35 have finished under the O/U total. Indiana comes into the contest with records of 40-20 straight up (SU) and 31-28-1 against the spread (ATS).

Pistons games also have a slight tendency to finish under the projected point total (53.4 percent). Additionally, Detroit owns records of 28-30 SU and 27-30-1 ATS.

The Pacers’ Darren Collison has been playing at a high level over his last five games, averaging 14 points,8.2 assists per game. Meanwhile, Drummond has averaged 25 points,18.2 rebounds,3.0 steals,2.0 blocks during that same time frame for the Pistons.

The inefficient offense of Detroit (23rd in the NBA with an offensive efficiency of 105.7) will battle against the top-notch defense of Indiana (second in the NBA with a defensive efficiency of 103.3). The Pacers figure to have the advantage on that side of the ball. Additionally, the Pacers rank 22nd in offensive rebounding percentage (22.1 percent), while the Pistons rank third in defensive rebounding percentage (79.4 percent).

Indiana Pacers vs. Detroit Pistons Odds Pick

Pick: SU Winner – Pacers, ATS Winner – Pacers, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Pistons rank second in second chance points allowed per game (11.0) while the Pacers rank sixth (12.2).
  • Detroit ranks seventh in three pointers attempted per game (34.4) while Indiana ranks 28th (25.5).
  • The Pacers rank seventh in assists per game (26.2) while the Pistons rank 26th (22.3).
  • Indiana ranks fourth in points allowed in the paint per game (44.1) while Detroit ranks 21st (50.6).
  • Indiana ranks 19th in blocks per game (4.9) while Detroit ranks 29th (3.8).
  • The Pacers rank third in steals per game (8.9) while the Pistons rank 23rd (6.9).
  • The Pacers rank third in points off turnovers per game (19.9) while the Pistons rank 20th (15.6).
  • Indiana ranks third in rebounds allowed per game (42.8) while Detroit ranks sixth (43.6).
  • Indiana ranks ninth in fast break points per game (14.9) while Detroit ranks 29th (9.3).
  • When allowing less than 100 points, Detroit is 9-2 and Indiana is 21-3.
  • The Pistons are 25-20 when they reach the century mark, while the Pacers are 35-10.
  • Detroit is 13-16-1 ATS at home, while Indiana is 13-15-1 ATS on the road.
  • The Pacers have 16 overs and 13 unders in 29 road games.
  • In 30 home games, the Pistons have 15 overs and 15 unders.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Pacers are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Pistons are 3-2.
  • In their last five games, Indiana has 3 unders and 2 overs, while Detroit has 5 overs.
  • During their last five games, the Pacers have scored an average of 109.2 points per game (0.6 above their season average) and allowed an average of 101.8 points per game (1.4 below their season average).
  • The Pistons have outscored opponents by an average of 8.8 points in their last five games. For the season, Detroit has been defeated by an average of 1.0 point.