The Indiana Pacers (35-24) will be at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse to square off with the Cleveland Cavaliers (17-42) in a Central Division matchup. Action gets underway at 8 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 29, 2020, and can be seen on Fox Sports Midwest – Indiana.
Indiana Pacers vs. Cleveland Cavaliers Betting Odds
Neither team was able to cover in their last matchup. The Pacers (10-point favorites) beat the Portland Trail Blazers, 106-100, while the Cavaliers (7.5-point favorites) fell to the New Orleans Pelicans, 116-104. The Indiana game went 12 points under the projected point total of 218, while the Cleveland game finished 3.5 points over the projected point total of 216.5.
Indiana played a nearly perfect game. They had a free throw rate of 0.200 (above their season average of 0.170) and a turnover percentage of 9.9 (better than their season average of 11.3). Portland recorded marks of 0.101 and 12.8, respectively, for those same stats. Cleveland, meanwhile, forced New Orleans into a turnover percentage of 14.5 (above the 11.1 mark opponents have averaged against Cleveland this season). Cleveland received a boost from Collin Sexton, who recorded 31 points. Domantas Sabonis, meanwhile led the way for Indiana, finishing with 20 points and 11 rebounds.
The Pacers evened the season series at one with a 102-95 win in their most recent game. Sabonis put up a double-double in the victory with 18 points and 17 rebounds. Indiana’s rebounding was their biggest advantage. The Pacers had more offensive rebounds (13 vs. 3), defensive rebounds (45 vs. 42) and total rebounds (58 vs. 45). Indiana covered as a 7-point favorite and the two teams combined for 197 points, which was well under the projected point total of 215.
Games involving the Pacers have gone over the total 50.8 percent of the time. Indiana holds records of 35-24 straight up (SU) and 30-27-2 against the spread (ATS).
Of the Cavaliers’ 58 games with betting action, 31 have finished over the O/U total. Additionally, Cleveland owns records of 17-42 SU and 26-30-2 ATS.
Cleveland might have a tough time scoring as they clash against one of the NBA’s best defenses. Indiana ranks seventh in defensive efficiency while the Cavaliers rank 25th in offensive efficiency. Also, the Pacers rank fifth in turnover percentage (12.3 percent), while the Cavaliers rank 25th in opponents’ turnover percentage (12.3 percent).
Indiana Pacers at Cleveland Cavaliers Odds Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – Pacers, ATS Winner – Pacers, O/U – Under
- The Cavaliers rank 20th in three pointers attempted per game (31.9) while the Pacers rank last (27.7).
- Indiana ranks first in steals allowed per game (6.7) while Cleveland ranks last (9.4).
- The Pacers rank eighth in blocks allowed per game (4.5) while the Cavaliers rank 29th (6.4).
- Indiana ranks eighth in points in the paint per game (49.0) while Cleveland ranks 28th in points allowed in the paint per game (53.9).
- Indiana ranks 17th in fast break points per game (12.8) while Cleveland ranks 28th (10.2).
- The Pacers rank third in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.6) while the Cavaliers rank last (20.2).
- The Cavaliers rank ninth in second chance points per game (13.8) while the Pacers rank 28th (11.7).
- Cleveland ranks fifth in rebounds allowed per game (42.9) while Indiana ranks 12th (44.9).
- Indiana ranks fifth in assists allowed per game (23.1) while Cleveland ranks 29th (26.3).
- Indiana is 11-2 when they allow below 100 points, while Cleveland is 5-3.
- The Pacers are 35-15 when they score over 100 points, while the Cavaliers are 16-29.
- Indiana is 16-12 ATS on the road, while Cleveland is 12-18-1 ATS at home.
- The total has gone over in 14 of the Pacers’ 28 road games, while 16 of the Cavaliers’ 31 home games have gone over.
- The Cavaliers are 4-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Pacers are 3-2.
- In their last five games, Cleveland has 3 unders and 2 overs, while Indiana has 4 unders and 1 over.
- The Cavaliers’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 1.2, down from 8.2 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Pacers have scored an average of 106.0 points per game (3.3 below their season average) and allowed an average of 103.2 points per game (4.0 below their season average).