The NBA’s top scoring defense will be on the road at Golden 1 Center, when the Indiana Pacers (13-9) challenge the Sacramento Kings (10-11). The game will air on Fox Sports Midwest – Indiana at 10 p.m. ET on Saturday, December 1, 2018.
Indiana Pacers vs. Sacramento Kings ATS Odds
Both teams failed to cover as underdogs in their last outing. The Pacers (5-point underdogs) were defeated by the Los Angeles Lakers, 104-96, while the Kings (2-point underdogs) fell to the Los Angeles Clippers, 133-121. The Indiana game went 21 points under the projected point total of 221, while the Sacramento game went 18 points over the projected point total of 236.
Indiana did an excellent job of getting and making free throws (22-27; 81.5 percent) while Sacramento had an offensive rebounding percentage of 34.8 (above their season average of 21.2). Sacramento was lifted by Marvin Bagley III, who had 18 points and 10 rebounds. Meanwhile, Domantas Sabonis played a key role for Indiana with 20 points and 15 rebounds.
The Pacers dominated this series last year, emerging victorious in both contests. In the most recent matchup, Indiana won 106-103. Converting at the free throw line was one of Indiana’s largest strengths. They were 18-20 (90.0 percent), while the Kings were just 6-9 (66.7 percent). This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams.
Of the Pacers’ 22 games, 12 have finished under the total. Indiana comes into the contest with records of 13-9 straight up (SU) and 10-11-1 against the spread (ATS).
Of the Kings’ 21 games, 14 have finished over the projected point total. Moreover, Sacramento is 10-11 SU and 12-9 ATS.
The Pacers’ Sabonis has been playing well over his last five games, averaging 17 points,11.4 rebounds,4.8 assists per game. Meanwhile, Bagley III has averaged 16 points,10.0 rebounds,1.6 blocks during that same time frame for the Kings.
It will be a battle of conflicting styles as the fast-paced Kings (ranked fourth in the NBA in possessions per game) will look to push the slower-paced Pacers (27th in possessions per game).
Indiana Pacers at Sacramento Kings ATS Pick
Free Prediction: SU Winner – Kings, ATS Winner – Kings, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Pacers average 24.136363636363637 assists per game, which ranks 12 in the NBA. The Kings rank 20 in assists allowed per game (24.571428571428573).
- Indiana ranks first in points allowed in the paint per game (41.3) while Sacramento ranks 28th (52.4).
- The Pacers rank third in steals per game (9.3) while the Kings rank 22nd in steals allowed per game (8.2).
- Indiana ranks 10th in fast-break points per game (15.1) while Sacramento ranks 27th in fast-break points allowed per game (15.8).
- Indiana ranks 18 in three pointers allowed per game (31.59090909090909) while Sacramento ranks 29 (35.666666666666664).
- The Pacers rank fourth in rebounds allowed per game (42.0) while the Kings rank 28th (48.3).
- The Pacers rank 2 in points off turnovers per game (20.59090909090909) while the Kings rank 18 in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.476190476190474).
- Indiana ranks 20 in blocks per game (5.136363636363637) while Sacramento ranks 25 (4.428571428571429).
- Indiana ranks first in second chance points allowed per game (10.1) while Sacramento ranks 21st (15.0).
- Indiana is 6-1 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while Sacramento is 3-0.
- The Kings are 9-10 when they score above 100 points, while the Pacers are 11-4.
- Indiana is 5-6-1 ATS on the road, while Sacramento is 6-4 ATS at home.
- In 12 road games, the Pacers have 7 overs and 5 unders.
- Of the Kings’ 10 home games, they have 6 unders and 4 overs.
Bettings Trends:
- The Kings are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Pacers are 2-3.
- In their last five games, Sacramento has 5 overs, while Indiana has 3 overs and 2 unders.
- The Kings’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 4.2, up from 3.0 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Pacers have scored an average of 107.0 points per game (1.0 above their season average) and allowed an average of 106.8 points per game (4.5 above their season average).
