The Indiana Pacers (12-8) will travel to Talking Stick Resort Arena to take on the Phoenix Suns (4-15). Action begins at 9 p.m. ET on Tuesday, November 27, 2018, and can be seen on Fox Sports Midwest – Indiana.
Indiana Pacers vs. Phoenix Suns ATS Odds
In the Pacers’ last game, they dismantled the Utah Jazz, 121-88, as 1.5-point underdogs. The Suns, on the other hand, were beaten by the Detroit Pistons, 118-107, and failed to cover as 8.5-point underdogs. Both games went over their projected point totals. The Indiana game finished 1.5 points over the projected point total of 207.5, while the Phoenix game went 3.5 points over the projected point total of 221.5.
Indiana dominated nearly every facet of the game. They had a fantastic effective field goal percentage of 0.637 (above their season average of 0.533) and a free throw rate of 0.167 (above their season average of 0.165). For those same stats, Utah put up marks of 0.469 and 0.148, respectively. Phoenix, on the other hand, did an excellent job of converting from the charity stripe (15-21; 71.4 percent). Deandre Ayton had a good outing for Phoenix, recording 25 points and 13 rebounds. Indiana received a boost from Domantas Sabonis, who had 13 points, 10 rebounds and six assists.
The Pacers dominated this series last year, taking both games. In the last matchup, Indiana won 116-101. Indiana’s 0.619 effective field goal percentage was its largest advantage over Phoenix, who had a mark of 0.470. This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams.
A little over half of the Pacers’ games have finished under the total. Indiana has a solid 12-8 straight up (SU) record, but they struggle covering the spread (8-10-1 against the spread (ATS)).
Much like Indiana, Suns games have finished under the O/U total 52.6 percent of the time. Further, Phoenix owns records of 4-15 SU and 8-11 ATS.
The Pacers’ Sabonis has been playing at a high level over his last five games, averaging 15 points,11.8 rebounds,4.8 assists per game. Meanwhile, Devin Booker has averaged 24 points,9.0 assists,1.6 steals during that same time frame for the Suns.
Phoenix might have difficulty scoring as they clash against one of the NBA’s best defenses. Indiana ranks fourth in defensive efficiency while the Suns rank 28th in offensive efficiency.
Indiana Pacers vs. Phoenix Suns Free Pick
NBA Tip: SU Winner – Suns, ATS Winner – Suns, O/U – Over
Betting Notes:
- The Pacers rank 2 in rebounds allowed per game (41.45) while the Suns rank 14 (44.63157894736842).
- Indiana ranks first in points allowed in the paint per game (40.1) while Phoenix ranks 29th (54.4).
- The Pacers rank first in second chance points allowed per game (10.1) while the Suns rank 20th (14.2).
- Indiana ranks 10th in assists allowed per game (23.2) while Phoenix ranks 28th (25.7).
- Phoenix ranks 4 in three pointers allowed per game (29.157894736842106) while Indiana ranks 18 (32.05).
- The Pacers rank second in points off turnovers per game (21.2) while the Suns rank 29th in points off turnovers allowed per game (21.0).
- The Pacers rank 10 in fast break points per game (14.85) while the Suns rank 27 in fast break points allowed per game (17.842105263157894).
- Indiana ranks 18 in blocks per game (5.15) while Phoenix ranks 26 (3.9473684210526314).
- Indiana ranks third in steals per game (9.2) while Phoenix ranks 27th in steals allowed per game (9.7).
- Indiana is 6-1 when they hold opponents under 100 points, while Phoenix is 1-0.
- The Suns are 4-9 when they score more than 100 points, while the Pacers are 10-4.
- Indiana is 3-5-1 ATS on the road, while Phoenix is 5-4 ATS at home.
- Of the Pacers’ 9 road games, they have 6 overs and 3 unders.
- The Suns have 6 unders and 3 overs in 9 home games.
Bettings Trends:
- In their last five games, Indiana and Phoenix are both 2-3 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
- The Pacers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 7.8, up from 4.3 for the season.
- During their last five games, the Suns have scored an average of 110.6 points per game (6.2 above their season average) and allowed an average of 117.0 points per game (2.7 above their season average).
