Indiana Pacers at Detroit Pistons ATS Prediction 10/28/19

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The Indiana Pacers (0-2), 1-point favorites, will be at Little Caesars Arena to meet the Detroit Pistons (1-2) in a Central Division matchup. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 213.5 points and it will air on Fox Sports – Detroit at 7 p.m. ET on Monday, October 28, 2019.

Indiana Pacers at Detroit Pistons ATS Odds

Both teams were beaten in their last game. The Pistons (4.5-point underdogs) were defeated by the Philadelphia 76ers, 117-111, while the Pacers (5-point favorites) fell to the Cleveland Cavaliers, 110-99. The Detroit game finished 15 points over the projected point total of 213, while the Indiana game finished 4 points under the projected point total of 213.

Indiana had a better turnover percentage (15.5 vs. 16.3) while Detroit had a better free throw rate (0.276 vs. 0.230). Detroit’s Derrick Rose had a good game, contributing 31 points. Malcolm Brogdon, meanwhile played a pivotal role for Indiana with 30 points and 10 assists.

Since last season, the Pacers have had records of 48-36 straight up (SU) and 52-38-1 against the spread (ATS). Since last season, games featuring Indiana have finished under the projected point total 59.3 percent of the time.

The Pistons, on the other hand, are 42-43 SU and 40-42-3 ATS since last season. Vegas has been fairly accurate when setting the O/U total of Detroit games over that same time frame with 46 unders compared to 37 overs.

Detroit might have trouble finding the bottom of the net as they go head-to-head against one of the league’s best defenses. Indiana ranks fifth in defensive efficiency, while the Pistons rank 21st in offensive efficiency since the 2018-19 season.

Indiana Pacers vs. Detroit Pistons ATS Pick

Prediction: SU Winner – Pacers, ATS Winner – Pacers, O/U – Under

Betting Notes (2018-Present):

  • The Pacers rank 19th in blocks per game (4.9) while the Pistons rank 27th (4.1).
  • Detroit ranks sixth in three pointers attempted per game (34.5) while Indiana ranks 29th (25.6).
  • The Pacers rank 12th in fast break points per game (14.5) while the Pistons rank 29th (10.0).
  • Indiana ranks eighth in assists per game (25.7) while Detroit ranks 25th (22.5).
  • Detroit ranks third in second chance points allowed per game (11.3) while Indiana ranks 15th (13.4).
  • The Pacers rank third in steals per game (8.6) while the Pistons rank 23rd (7.0).
  • The Pacers rank second in points off turnovers per game (19.0) while the Pistons rank 18th (15.9).
  • Detroit ranks 22nd in rebounds per game (44.7) while Indiana ranks 26th (42.7).
  • Indiana ranks fourth in points allowed in the paint per game (44.3) while Detroit ranks 22nd (50.2).
  • In games where they hold opponents below 100 points, Detroit is 16-3 and Indiana is 25-5.
  • The Pistons are 38-29 when they reach 100 points, while the Pacers are 43-19.