Indiana Pacers at Brooklyn Nets ATS Prediction 11/18/19

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The Indiana Pacers (7-6) will travel to the Barclays Center to challenge the Brooklyn Nets (5-7). The game starts at 7:30 p.m. ET on Monday, November 18, 2019, and will air on YES Network.

Indiana Pacers at Brooklyn Nets ATS Odds

In the Nets’ last outing, they topped the Chicago Bulls, 117-111, as 3.5-point underdogs. The Pacers, on the other hand, were thoroughly outplayed by the Milwaukee Bucks, 102-83, and failed to cover as 7.5-point underdogs. The Brooklyn game went 3.5 points over the projected point total of 224.5, while the Indiana game finished 35.5 points under the projected point total of 220.5.

The Nets held the Bulls to an effective field goal percentage of 0.401 (below their season average of 0.498). The Bulls also had a turnover percentage of 14.8 (above the 10.3 mark opponents have averaged against Brooklyn this season). Indiana, meanwhile, held Milwaukee to an offensive rebounding percentage of 16.7 (below the 22.5 mark opponents have averaged against Indiana this season). Joe Harris had a solid game for Brooklyn with 22 points and eight assists. Meanwhile, Myles Turner had a good outing for Indiana, putting up 16 points and 11 rebounds.

In their first matchup this year, Malcolm Brogdon led the Pacers to a 118-108 win. He registered a double-double with 21 points and 13 assists. Indiana covered as a 3-point underdog and the two teams combined to score 226 points, which was just over the projected point total of 221.5. The Pacers’ turnover percentage was their biggest advantage over the Nets. Indiana had a rate of 7.9, while Brooklyn posted a mark of 15.4.

Pacers matchups tend to go under the total (61.5 percent). Indiana heads into the game with records of 7-6 straight up (SU) and 5-6-2 against the spread (ATS).

Unlike Indiana, games including the Nets have a tendency to go over the O/U total (58.3 percent). Additionally, Brooklyn is 5-7 SU and 5-6-1 ATS.

This contest should be a matchup of opposite tempos. Brooklyn prefers a fast-paced style of play (second in possessions per game), while Indiana is slower-paced (25th in possessions per game). Additionally, the Pacers rank fifth in turnover percentage (13.0 percent), while the Nets rank 29th in opponents’ turnover percentage (11.7 percent).

Pacers vs. Nets Betting Pick

Free NBA Tip: SU Winner – Pacers, ATS Winner – Pacers, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Pacers rank 12th in second chance points per game (13.5) while the Nets rank 13th in second chance points allowed per game (13.1).
  • Brooklyn ranks sixth in three pointers attempted per game (36.8) while Indiana ranks 28th (25.7).
  • The Nets rank third in rebounds per game (48.1) while the Pacers rank 15th (45.3).
  • Indiana ranks ninth in points in the paint per game (50.3) while Brooklyn ranks 16th in points allowed in the paint per game (49.2).
  • Indiana ranks 12th in blocks per game (5.3) while Brooklyn ranks 14th in blocks allowed per game (5.1).
  • The Pacers rank fourth in steals allowed per game (6.6) while the Nets rank 25th (9.0).
  • The Pacers rank fourth in fast break points allowed per game (11.5) while the Nets rank ninth (12.4).
  • Indiana ranks fourth in points off turnovers allowed per game (15.9) while Brooklyn ranks 21st (19.7).
  • Indiana is 3-1 when they hold opponents under 100 points.
  • The Pacers are 7-3 when they score over 100 points, while the Nets are 5-6.
  • Brooklyn is 2-3 ATS at home, while Indiana is 2-4 ATS on the road.
  • The total has gone over in 3 of the Pacers’ 6 road games, while 3 of the Nets’ 5 home games have gone over.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Nets are 3-1-1 ATS over their last five games, while the Pacers are 2-2-1.
  • In their last five games, Brooklyn has 3 overs and 2 unders, while Indiana has 3 unders and 2 overs.
  • The Nets’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 5.8, up from 2.0 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the Pacers have scored an average of 103.4 points per game (3.4 below their season average) and allowed an average of 101.2 points per game (3.2 below their season average).