Indiana Hoosiers at Illinois Fighting Illini ATS Prediction 03/01/20

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The Indiana Hoosiers (18-10, 8-9 Big 10) will be at the State Farm Center to clash with the Illinois Fighting Illini (19-9, 11-6 Big 10) in a Big 10 matchup. Action gets underway at 2 p.m. ET on Sunday, March 1, 2020.

Indiana Hoosiers at Illinois Fighting Illini Betting Odds

In their last outing, the Fighting Illini beat the Northwestern Wildcats, 74-66, while the Hoosiers lost to the Purdue Boilermakers, 57-49.

Illinois played a nearly perfect game. They had an absurd offensive rebounding percentage of 40.6 (above their season average of 36.5) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.534 (above their season average of 0.487). For those same stats, Northwestern was 25.6 and 0.451, respectively. Indiana, meanwhile, had a better free throw rate (0.237 vs. 0.232). Alan Griffin had a good outing for Illinois with 24 points and seven rebounds. Indiana rallied around Race Thompson, who finished with six points and eight rebounds.

The Hoosiers dominated this series last year, winning both games. In the last game, Indiana won 92-74. Indiana’s rebounding was their biggest strength. The Hoosiers had more offensive rebounds (13 vs. 7), defensive rebounds (22 vs. 20) and total rebounds (35 vs. 27). This is the first time these teams will meet this year.

Expect this one to be a clinic on boxing out as two of the country’s top rebounding teams face off. The Fighting Illini rank sixth in offensive rebounding percentage (36.6 percent), while Indiana ranks 60th in defensive rebounding percentage (75.1 percent). Moreover, the Hoosiers, who rank 26th in free throw attempt (FTA) rate (0.282), will go head-to-head against the Fighting Illini, who rank ninth in opponents’ FTA rate (0.156).

Indiana Hoosiers vs. Illinois Fighting Illini Pick

Prediction: SU Winner – Illinois, ATS Winner – Indiana, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • Indiana ranks 44th in blocks per game (4.3) while Illinois ranks 155th (2.8).
  • The Fighting Illini rank 268th in three pointers attempted per game (18.1) while the Hoosiers rank 289th (16.9).
  • The Fighting Illini rank 13th in rebounds per game (40.4) while the Hoosiers rank 75th (37.5).
  • Indiana ranks 188th in steals per game (5.6) while Illinois ranks 236th (4.8).

Bettings Trends:

  • The Fighting Illini’s average margin of victory in their last five games has been 2.0, down from 7.9 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the Hoosiers have scored an average of 67.8 points per game (3.7 below their season average) and allowed an average of 67.8 points per game (0.8 above their season average).